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# 1417 U.S.'s FAILED TRADE POLICY WITH CHINA
GUESTS:
William Hawkins, United States
Business & Industry Council
Ambassador Susan Schwab
U.S. TRADE REPRESENTATIVE
Yi Gang, Assistant Governor
THE PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA
Zhou Wenzhong, Ambassador
CHINESE EMBASSY TO THE U.S.
SLIDES:
U.S TRADE BALANCE (DEFICITS)
U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES
HUGE TRADE GAP
U.S TRADE DEFICITS: BY NATION
FOREIGN EXCHANGE HOLDINGS (In billions of U.S. $)
U.S TRADE REPRESENTATIVES WIN SMALL VICTORIES WITH CHINESE
CHINA OUT-BIDS RIVALS TO ACQUIRE WORLD’S LARGEST MINING COMPANY
ACQUISITION OF TECHNOLOGIES AND HIGH-TECH KNOW-HOW
U.S. TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA BROADENING TO “HIGH VALUE”
USURPING FOREIGN TECHNOLOGY
CHINESE BUILDING OWN AIRCRAFT
INWARD INVESTMENT CONTINUES INTO CHINA
FIRST TRADE?
CHINA’S LOBBYING EFFORT
TECH SALES TO CHINA QUESTIONED
CHINA SIMPLY SAYS NO TO THE U.S
FIG. 1 CHINA TARGET INTEREST RATE VS. FED TARGET RATE
IF CHINA “REBALANCES” ITS RESERVES
MOVES SLOWLY ON EXCHANGE RATES
CHINESE OIL PRODUCTION AND DEMAND <BARRELS PER DAY(M)>
CHINA ACQUIRING FINANCIAL ASSETS
CHINESE CARS COMING TO U.S. SOON
CHINA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PERSPECTIVE
TECH SALES TO CHINA QUESTIONED
CHINESE ROCKET SCIENCE
MILITARY GROWS IN CAPABILITIES
CHINA VS U.S IN CYBER WAR
WORLD’S LARGEST ECONOMIES 2050
“INTERNATIONAL INVESTOR” ASKS: WHAT IF U.S POLICY REVERSED?
# 1416 THE SECRET WORLD OF PRIVATE CAPITAL: PRIVATE EQUITY, HEDGE FUNDS, SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS AND TODAY’S GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS
GUESTS:
Thomas Puetter, ALLIANZ CAPITAL PARTNERS
David Rubenstein, CARLYLE GROUP
David Hale, HALE ADVISORS (Chicago)
SLIDES:
“PRIVATE CAPITAL” TAKES SEVERAL FORMS
DOWNSIDES OF PRIVATE EQUITY
CURRENT OVERSIGHT OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS INADEQUATE FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT (In $ Trillions)
FIRE SALE: BANKS SELL EQUITY STAKES TO RAISE RESERVE CAPITAL
PRIVATE EQUITY FIRMS WEAVE A TANGLED WEB OR RELATIONSHIPS
HEDGE FUNDS: “CONS” ON THE FEDS
KL GROUP ACCUSED OF ‘MASSIVE FRAUD’
CALLS FOR HEDGE FUND RESTRAINTS
DISPUTE OVER HEDGE FUNDS
BUY-OUT FUND PERFORMANCE MUST BE MADE MUCH CLEARER
IS BIG BETTER AND FOR WHOM?
PRIVATE EQUITY RETURNS ARE NOT SO HOT AFTER ALL
GROWTH OF U.S. BUYOUT & VENTURE INDUSTRIES
CARLYLE OUTMANEUVERS OBJECTIONS TO GRAB MANOR CARE
WHY DRIVERS PRIVATE EQUITY & BUY OUT FUNDS?
ANSWER: FEES AND COMMISSIONS
SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS
REGULATORS WARY OF HEDGE FUND INFLUENCE ON MARKETS
CONGRESS SAVES PRIVATE EQUITY EXECUTIVES FROM TAXES
“ EMPE7” EMERGED PRIVATE EQUITY MARKETS
SUB-PRIME BANK LOSSES WRITE-DOWN) In $ Billions
SUB PRIME DELINQUENCIES AND FORECLOSURES
CHINA DETERMINED TO PUT-BID RIVALS TO ACQUIRE WORLD’S LARGEST MINING COMPANY
FIRE SALE: INVESTMENT BANKS SELL STAKES TO RAISE RESERVE CAPITAL
DERIVATIVES MARKETS EXPLODE! (TRILLIONS OF $ DOLLARS)
DERIVATIVES’ EXPLOSIVE HISTORY
TOO MANY HEDGE FUNDS & RISKS?
FED PROPOSES RESTRICTIONS ON EXOTIC MORTGAGES
DERIVATIVES’ EXPLOSIVE HISTORY (cont)
1995 WISCONSIN’S $6.7 BILLION STATE INVESTMENT
# 1408 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND:
HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK:
PART ONE: TRANSPORTATION AND UTILITIES: WASHINGTON’S INFRASTRUCTURE BUDGET CRISIS
GUESTS:
Sherle Schwenninge, New America Foundation
Tyler D. Duvall, Assistant Secretary, U.S Dept. Transportation
SLIDES:
FED BUDGET: HIGHWAYS VS. WAR
PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL URBAN-AREA TRAVEL IN CONGESTED CONDITIONS
QUALITY INFRASTRUCTURE: KEY TO ECONOMIC GROWTH
INADEQUATE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT EQUALS POOR GROWTH PROSPECTS
FREIGHT FLOWS BY WATER: 1998 (TONS)
AIRPORT CONGESTION TO GET WORSE
U.S. RAIL SYSTEM IS TWO CENTURIES OLD
TRANSIT AVERAGE ANNUAL INVESTMENT
FUNDS FOR TRANSIT CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE DEALS PUBLIC/ PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS ($BILLIONS)
FEDERAL SPENDING PRIORITIES ($BILLIONS)
FREIGHT FLOWS BY TRUCK: 1998 (DAILY TRUCK VOLUMES)
FREIGHT FLOWS BY TRUCK: 2020 (DAILY TRUCK VOLUMES)
MAXIMUM ECONOMIC INVESTMENT FOR HIGHWAYS AND BRIDGES DISTRIBUTION BY IMPROVEMENT TYPE
PASSENGER RAIL SERVICE: THE TRANSPORTATION ANSWER?
NATION’S CAPITAL: INFRASTRUCTURE REPAIRE
IF MAINTENANCE ON A 20 YEAR ROAD IS NOT DONE BY THE END OF THE 12TH YEAR, IT STARTS TO DETERIORATE EIGHT TIMES FASTER THAN IN THE EARLY YEARS
MAINTENANCE COSTS: OR RUST NEVER SLLEPS
TRANSPORTATION BUDGET SHORTFALL
TO IMPROVE THE CONDITIONS OF TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
U.S. HIGHWAY FUND GOING BROKE
A COMPARISON OF 2004 CAPITAL SPENDING WITH AVERAGE ANNUAL INVESTMENT SCENARIO ESTIMATES (BILLINS OF DOLLARS)
U.S.FENDERAL HIGHWAY TRUST FUND
TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS STILL STRUGGLE FOR FUNDING
BUSH ADMINISTRATION SKIMPS ON RAIL TRANSIT FUNDING
# 1409 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND:
HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK:
PART 2: BROADBAND/INTERNET/TELECOM COMMUNICATION
GUESTS:
Robert D. Atkison, President, IT AND INNOVATION FOUNDATION
Satish Nambisan, Author, The Global Brain: Your Roadmap for Innovatiing Faster
Larry Clinton, President, INTERNET SECURITY ALLIANCE
SLIDES:
U.S. BROADBAND AND HIGH TECH STATE IS THIRD CLASS
U.S. RANKING AMONG OECD COUNTRIES IN BROADBAND PENETRATION
ITIF BROADBAND RANKINGS
PENETRATION: (PER HOUSEHOLD VS. PER CAPITA)
EU BROADBAND PENETRATION RATE - JULY 2007
(PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLDS)
DCT INYESTMENTS AS A PERCENTAGE OF GOP
GROETH OF INTERNET IN CHINA
DCT INVESTMENTS AS A PERCENTAGE OF GOP
PENETRATION VS. “URBANICITY”
PERCEIVNED DCT IMPACT ON EUROPEAN BUSINESSES
THE GLOBAL BRAIN
WEB USAGE
INTERNET COMMERCE
MOBILE PHONES FOR ½ A WORLD
MOBILE COMMERCE
CHAINA VS U.S. IN CYBER WAR
SOFTWARE PIRACY LOSSES = $200 BILLION IN FIVE YEARS
CURRENT STATES ON CORPORATE SECURITY
CHOICEPOINT HIT BY FRAUD RING
U.S COMPANIES FALL PREY
FOREIGN CYBER GANGS
U.S.DATE BREACHES (TYPICAL 2 MONTH PERIOD)
CORPORATIONS UNDER ATTACK
THE GREAT “FIRE” WALL OF CHINA
# 1410 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND:
HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK.
PART THREE: EDUCATION AND RESEARCH
GUESTS:
John Kao, Author “INNOVATION NATION”
Barbara Ischinger, OECD Director, DIRECTORATE FOR EDUCATION
Marya Levintova, Currently Ph.D, NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH, Speaking as a Student
Rear Admiral Mike Rstliff, USN (Ret.)INTERCOLLEGIATE STUDIES INSTITUTE
SLIDES:
INNOVATION NATION
PRPORTION OF R&D INVESTMENT COMING FROM BUSINESS (%)
U.S. SLIPPING FAST IN EDUCATION, R&D
EXPENDITURE ON EDUCATIONAL CORE SERVICES, R&D AND ANCILLARY SERVICES IN HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP (2004)
CHAINA SURGING AHEAD IN EDUCATION
MISPLACED AWARDS AND HONORS?
HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATION RATES (1995, 2005)
GROWTH IN HIGHER EDUCATION QUALIFICATIONS
HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATION RATES (1995, 2000, 2005)
NUMBER OF HIGHER EDUCATION SCIENCE GRADUATES PER 100,000 EMPLOYED 25-TO-34-YEAR-OLDS (2005)
GROWTH IN BASELINE QUALIFICATIONS A WORLD OF CHANGE
AVERAGE ANNUAL TUITION FEES
WHAT DO YOU CALL PARENTS WHO SAVED $40,000 IN THEIR CHILD’S NAMES FOR COLLEGE?
WHAT HAS CHANGED SINCE TODAY’S COLLEGE FRESHMAN WAS BORN?
FUTURE COLLEGE COSTS VS INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS
WHAT ARE THE CURRENT THREATS TO COLLEGE FUNDING?
WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FUNDING A PRIVATE EDUCATION NEAR THE OCEAN AND BUYING A DREAM HOME NEAR THE OCEAN?
STUDENT READINESS, QUALITY???
POLICES FAVOR ACCESS OVER READINESS OR SUCCESS
CHARGES IN THE NUMBER OF HIGHER EDUCATION STUDENTS AS WELL AS CHANGES IN EXPENDITURE ON HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS PER STUDENT, BY LEVEL OF EDUCATION (1995, 2004)
# 1411 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND:
HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK.
PART FOUR: POPULATION: IMMIGRATION AND BIRTHRATES IMPACT ON TRANSPORTATION, HEALTHCARE, EDUCATION, HOUSING, FINANCING.
GUESTS:
William P.Butz, President & CEO, POPULATION BEFERENCE BUREAU
Dean Baker, Co-Director, CENTER FOR ECONOMIC & POLICY RESEARCH
SLIDES:
GLOBAL ESTIMATED EXPENDITURE NEEDS IN INFRASTRUCTURE
CENSUS BUREAU POPULATION PROJECTION THIS CENTURY
GLOBAL POPULATION GROWTH IS DRIVEN BY DEVELOPING COUNTRIES.
WORLD FOOD DEMAND AND PRICES RISING FAST
U.S: THIRD LARGEST POPULATION
MALI, UGANDA, NIGER (1950-2050)
IN MANY DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, FERTILITY RATES ARE STABILIZING AFTER YEARS OF DECLINE
AN IMPORTANT GLOBAL ISSUE IS THE “DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDE” – THE VAST GULF IN BIRTH AND DEATH RATES AMONG COUNTRIES.
POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU
LAND AREA
HISPANIC WOMEN HAVE THE HIGHEST FERTILITY AMONG MAJOR U.S RACIAL AND ETHNIC GROUP.
FOREIGN-BORN RESIDENTS OF THE U.S MAKE UP A SMALLER SHARE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION THAN IN 1910, BUT THEIR NUMBERS HAVE NEVER BEEN HIGHTER.
PERCENT MINORITY IN U.S, BY AGE GROUP, 1980-2030
ALTHOUGH THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF PEOPLE PER U.S. HOUSEHOLD FELL BETWEEN 1969 AND 2001, THE NUMBER OF VEHICLES PER HOUSEHOLD ROSE.
THE AMOUNT OF TRASH STILL EXCEEDS THE AMOUNT RECYCLED AND COMPOSED
AMERICA’S ETHNIC & AGE DIVIDE
IN A MARKET ECONOMY, PRICES ADJUST TO SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR GOODS, SERVICES AND LABOR
FEWER PEOPLE MAY MEAN HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY AND QUALITY OF LIFE
U.S. LABOR FORCE VS MEXICO’S WORKING AGE POPULATION
PERCENTAGE OF PEOPLE IN POVERTY, 1969 TO 1999
# 1412 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND:
HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK.
PART FIVE: FINANCING OUR NATION’S FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE
GUESTS: Mary Sue Barrett, President, METROPOLITAN PLANNING COUNCIL, CHICAGO
George Bilicic, Managing Director, GLOBAL POWER & UTILITY GROUP, LAZARD.
U.S. POPULATION SOARS UPWARD, PRESSURING EDUCATION, HEALTHCARE, TRAFFIC AND UTILITY INFRASTRUCTURE
WAR AND DEFENSE COSTS DRAIN DISCRETIONARY BUDGET FROM CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
POPULATION VS. INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING
FUNDS FOR TRANSIT CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
BUSH ADMINISTRATION SKIMPS ON RAIL TRANSIT FUNDING
FREIFHT FLOWS BY RAIL: 1998 TONS
BRIDGES TUMBLING DOWN
J.S. SLIPPING BEHIND ON INWARD INVESTMENT, ATTRACTIVENESS
U.S. RAIL SYSTEM IS TWO CENTUREIES OLD
2005 ENERGY BILL WON’T BRING RELIEF
2005 “HIGHWAYS BILL” TO PUT MORE AMERICANS ON THE ROAD
QUALITY INFRASTRUCTURE: KEY TO ECONOMIC GROWTH
ASIA JUMPS ABOARD HIGH-SPEED LINE
RAIL PROJECTS AND BUILERS FIND WORK OVERSEAS
INFRASTRUCTURE: CRITICAL TO LIFE QUALITY AND INCOME EQUALITY
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE DEALS PUBLIC/PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS
USE OF PRIVATE CAPITAL TO BUILD INFRASTRUCTURE RAISES SECURITY, SAFETY CONCERNS
SHARE OF FIRMS THAT CONSIDER INFRASTRUCTURE TO BE A SERIOUS OBSTACLE TO DOING BUSINESS
RELIANCE ON INTERNAL FUNDS FOR FINANCING NEW INVESTMENTS
U.S. LOSES LEAD IN MAJOR MARKET CAPITALIZATION
RUSSIA’S LOCOMOTIVE OF INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
NATION’S CAPITAL: INFRASTRUCTURE DISPAIR
MAXIMUM ECONOMIC INVESTMENT FOR HIGHWAYS AND BRIGES DISTRUBUTION BY IMPROVEMENT TYPE
CHINA ROCKETS INTO INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING
MODERN, HIGH-SPEEND TRAINS IN EUROPEOUT COMPETE AIR TRAVEL
AMERICA’S ELECTICAL GRID: SHORTING OUT WITH NO BACK-UP GENERATORS
STRATEGIC “REFIND” RESERVE (SRR)
KATRINA DAMAGE = 100X COST OR NEW LEVEES
INTERNATIONAL INVESTOR’S ANSWER: PENSION CAPITAL!
# 1407 THE CASE AGAINST WAR WITH IRAN
THE NUCLEAR PROBLEM WITH IRAN
THE CASE FOR WAR WITH IRAN
CONCLUSION: AGAINST WAR WITH IRAN
GUESTS
Gary Samore, Vice President, COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS
Bernard Kouchner, MINISTER, Foreign Affairs, FRANCE
Thomas Mclnerney, Lt. General, AIR FORCE, (Ret.)
Carl Levin, SENATOR, D-MI
SLIDES:
WAR SPENDING ON IRAQ NOW REACHING CRITICAL JUNCTURE
ALTERNATIVE USES OF U.S. TREASURY
IRAN’S PRESIDENT: NOT TO BE TRUSTED
DOUBLE STANDARDS?
ISRAEL MAY TAKE UNILATERAL ACTION
IRAN’S TORTURED HISTORY WITH THE WEST
TOUGH NICLEAR NEIGHBORHOOD
IRAQIS CLAIMS FRIENDSHIP WITH IRAN
ECONOMIC SANCTIONS
CALLS FOR WAR AGAINST IRAN
COST OF WARS
IRAQI RECONSTRUCTION BUDGET BOOM
COVER ACTIONS AGAINST IRAN
THINGS ARE HEATING UP
IRAQ’S WEAPONS: MANY SOURCE
FIGHTER JET TRAILS: EROM THE U.S., TO ISRAEL, TO CHINA, TO IRAN…
IRAN’S “CONTROL” OVER HORMUZ
WARNINGS FROM THE U.S.
POLITICAL SYMPATHIES
RELIGIOUS FREEDOM
WOMEN’S RIGHTS
“WINNERS” IN IRAN WAR SCENARIOS
U.S. GOVT. POLICY TOWARD ARAB NATIONS
AMERICAN FREEDOM AND DEMOCRACY
CONFLICT AREAS HAVE MOST “UNFAVORABLE” OPINION OF U.S.
INFLUENCE IN THE WORLD
THE NUCLEAR CLUB
# 1306 ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING VI: ARE THE EFFORTS AN INVASION OF AMERICAN’S EXPECTATION OF FINANCIAL PRIVACY?
GUESTS:
Simon J.Pak, Associate Professor of Finance, Pennsylvania State University
Thomas Biersteken, Graduate Institute of International Study
Matthew Levitt, Washington Institute for National Policy
Daniel Glaser, Deputy Asst. Secretary, Terrorist Financing/Crimes, U.S. TREASURY
SLIDES:
MONEY LAUNDERING IS BIG
ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING
Chart 1 . Capital outflows from Switzerland ($)
1996-2005 NIGERIA’S CAPITAL OUT FLOW TO THE U.S.
CAPITAL OUTFLOW FROM NIGERIA TO THE U.S HAVE: (i) TRIPED;
(ii) BEEN PRIMARILY THROUGH HIGH PRICED IMPORTS SINCE 1996.
ANNUAL CAPITAL OUTFLOWS ($) FROM AFRICA TO THE U.S. 1996-2005
MONEY MOVEMENT BETWEEN THE U.S. AND THE WORLD THROUGH TRADE MISINVOICING
PATRIOT ACT BROADENS
U.S MUSLIM GROUPS CLEARED
WORLD BANK / UN ASSENT RECOVERY ARM
“BAD BOY” LIST
CHARITIES CONTEST NEW RULES
“DIRTY MONEY” GRAVITATES TO WESTERN NATIONS
U.S. TAX EVASION LOSSES SRE SUBSTANTIAL
TAX SCHEMES WIDESPREAD
ACCESS TO INTERNET, CABLE TV, CELL PHONE RECORDS
MEXICAN DRUG LORD GETS LIFE SENTENCE
PATRIOT ACT GETS TOUGH
PATRIOT ACT BROADENS
AMERIDEBT TRANSFERRED MONEY TO OFFSHORE TRUSTS
“HAWALADARS” OPERATE UNOFFICIAL MONEY CIRCLES
TAX SHELTER PROMOTERS FORCED TO FOLLOW RULES
WESTRN DEMOCRACIES JOIN IN
INTERNATIONAL WIRE TRANSFERS SIFTED BY THE C.I.A.
GOVERNMENT ACCESS TO FINANCIAL RECORDS
TREASURY CONCERNED ABOUT SAUDI ARABIA TERROR FINANCING
# 1305 ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING
Are the Efforts Sufficient? Can It Stop Terrorists From Moving Money?
GUESTS:
Raymond W.Baker, Director, Global Financial Integrity
Jack Blum, BAKER HOSTETLER
John Christensen, TAX JUSTICE NETWORK
The Lord Brennan, HOUSE OF LORDS, (U.K.)
Robert M.Kimmitt, Deputy Secretary of the Treasuary
SLIDES:
MONEY LAUNDERING IS BIG
UNSER TEIR NOSE…
BANK EXAMINER LEFT TREASURY TO JOIN RIGGS!
RIGGS AND SAUDI CONNECTION
BANK HANDLE SMUGGLED GOLD
U.S. TAX EVASION LOSSES ARE SUBSTANTIAL
CORPORATE HAVENS UNDER OUR NOSE
INTERNATIONAL WIRE TRANSFERS SIFTED BY THE C.I.A.
TREASURY CONCERNED ABOUT SAUDI ARABIA TERROR FINANCING
“HAWALADARS” OPERATE UNOFFICIAL MONEY CIRCILES
TOP OFFICIALS BOOKED ON MONEYLAUNRING, CONSPIRACY CHARGES
THREE OIL FIRMS INVESTIGATED RELATED TO RIGGS BANK
CAYMSN ISLED STILL LEAD IN CORPORATE ADDRESS GAME
TAX SCHEMES WIDESPREAD
WORLD’S BANKERS STILL DOUBT ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING EFFORT
MONEY CENTERS HERES, THERE AND EVERYWHERE
“BAD BOY” LIST
LOMDON TURNING INTO A HAVEN FOR MONEY-LAUNDERING
MORE DIRTY BANKS
“DIRTY MONEY” GRAVITATES TO WESTERN NATIONS
CORPORATE FINACE STILL FIND THE CARIBBEAN WARN AND INVITING
TAX SHELTER PROMOTERS FORCED TO FOLLOW RULES
HEDGE FUND INVESTORS FACING BIG BACK TAX
OFFSHORE BANKING
MEXICAN DRUG LORD GETS LIFE SENTENCE
WORLD BANK / UN ASSET RECOVERY ARM
ILLICIT FINANCIAL OUTFLOWS COMPARED TO FOREIGN INFLOWS
GLOBL GDP AND GLOBAL QUINTILE INCOME DISPARITY, 2004
DRUG CATELS “LAUNDERING” CASH IN CHINA
ILLICIT LATIN MONEY FLOWS ARE ENORMOUS
PATRIOT ACT GETS TOUGH
PATRIOT ACT BROADENS
GOVERNMENT ACCESS TO FINANCIAL RECORDS
# 1301 RUSSIA’S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: PART ONE
The 2007 WORLD RUSSIAN FORUM
From Inside the UNITED STATES SENATE Washington, D.C.
INVESTING IN RUSSIA: ECONOMY/FINANCIAL MARKETS
GUESTS:
Peter Kolle, Sr. Advisor - UNICREDIT, CEE Division
Roger Munnings - KPMG Russia
Alexey Portansky – Information Office RUSSIA WTO
SLIDES:
GDP GROWTH RUSSIA
CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
CONSUMER CREDIT GROWTH
FINACIAL EIRMS SMELL THE MONEY
RUSSIAN SCORES POORLY ON CORRUPTION SCALE
UNCREDIT BUYS HVB OF GERMANY, LOOKING FOR OTHTERS
U.S. DOLLAR VS. RUSSIAN ROUBLE
NO WONDER THEY LIKE PUTIN
DIASASTER DURING YELTSIN YEARS
NEW PIPELINE ROURTE
CAPITAL INVESTMENTS (As % OF PREVIOUS YEAR)
RUSSIAN RATE OF INVESTMENT
GROWTH IN CAPITAL MARKET
RUSSIAN M&A BANKING VOLUMES
TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT
INDEBTEDNESS TURN-AROUND
# 1302 RUSSIA’S HOUSING AND CONSTRUCTION INDUSTY: PART TWO
The 2007 WORLD RUSSIAN FORUM
From Inside the UNITED STATES CAPITOL Washington, D.C.
GUESTS:
Andrei Dolgorukov – Trade Representative of Russia
Jerry Howard, CEO – National Association of Homebuilders
William Robinson, Attorney – Expert on US and Russian Law
SLIDES:
GROWTH IN CAPITAL MARKETS
RUSSIAN VS. U.S STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE
NYSE LAUNCHES RUSSIAN ETF
RETAILERS MOVING INTO RUSSIA
RUSSIA REAL GDP %
RUSSIAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION %
RUSSIAN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
RUSSIAN CONSUMER SPENDING SOARS
PRIME OFFICE RENTS AS AT DEC 2006
RUSSIAN INFLATION RATE
RUSSIAN INTEREST RATE
RUSSIAN HOME OWNERSHIP AND CONSUMER GOODS PENTRATION:
RUSSIAN REAL ESTATE HEATS UP
RUSSIAN SCORES POORLY ON CORRUPTION SCALE
GM DRIVERS TOWARD SUCCESS IN RUSSIA, OVER BUMPY ROADS
RUSSIA’S RAPID IMPROVING ENERGY EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGY
# 1303 RUSSIAN HEALTH CARE: PART THREE
FROM THE WORLD RUSSIAN FORUM: U.S. CONGRESS
GUESTS:
Alexandra Vacroux, Research Scholar
Kennan Institute, WOODROW WILSON CENTER
Marya Levintova, Ph.D. Fogarty International Center, NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH
Tatyana Klimova, NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH
Marshall Ferrin, CEO, GRAVITONUS
SLIDES:
NUMBER OF HOSPITAL BEDS
NUMBER OF MEDIUM-LEVEL MEDICAL PERSONAL
TO POPULATION IN THOUSANDS
RUSSIAN FEDERATION
NUMBER OF RUSSIAN PHYSICIANS
PUBLIC HEALT COSTS
CAPACITY OF POLYCLINICS (NUMBER OF PATIENTS’ VISIT PER SHIFT)
GROWTH IN NUMBER OF RUSSIAN PHARMACIES
RUSSIAN FEDERATION
LIFE EXPECTANCY IN RUSSIA
THE PROPORTION OF POPULATION AGED 65+
FROM THE WORLD RUSSIAN FORUM, U.S. CONGRESS
GUESTS:
Thomas Pickering (Frmr. Chair.), Sr. Advisor, BOEING
Cathy Campbell, President, U.S Civilian Research/Development Foundation
SLIDES:
BOEING’S BUSINESS LINES AND PROFILE
BOEING’S ANNUAL REVENUES
TOP 10 WORLD-WIDE DEFFENSE CONTRACTORS 2007
US-RUSSIA COLLABORATION: SPACE STATION
INTERNATIONAL SPACE STARTION; ISS
BOEING WINS ROCKET CONTRACT
HIGHER EDUCATION AND TECHNOLOGY
MARKET VALUE OF AIR TRAFFIC (By Region)
AIR TRAFFIC CAPACITY GROWTH WITHIN REGIONS:
(Average Annual Growth Rates)
ARCTIC EXPEDITION DEMONSTRATES
RUSSIA’S TECHNOLOGY/EXPERIENCE
OTHER NATIONS MAKE CLAIMS ON ARCTIC EXPLORATION
# 1300
“REAL” REAL ESTATE MARKETS
GUEST: SIGRID
ZIALCITA, CUSHMAN& WAKEFIELD
SLIDES:
PENDING HOME SALES
EXISTING CONDO & CO-OP SALES
ONE IN TWENTY MORTGAGES NOW HAVING PROBLEMS KEEPING UP
EXISTING HOME SALES
GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT
SHARE OF WASHINGTON REGIONAL ECONOMY
EXISTING HOME SALES
HOUSING EQUITY GAINS IN WASHINGTON, DC
CONGRESS TO THE RESCUE?
POPULATION
GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT
STRONG OFFICE MARKET ACROSS NATION
EASY MONEY FOR FINANCING
VACATION HOMES STRONG IN 2006
WHY THE HOUSING BOOM CONTINUES IN FLORIDA
SUB-PRIME/FORECLOSURES SOAR
CREDIT PROBLEMS MUCH LARGER THAN THE REAL ESTATE MARKET
DEMAND & SUPPLY
METRO WASHINGTON EMPLOYMENT
WORLD'S MOST EXPENSIVE CITIES
AFRICA & THE MIDDLE EAST
TOP TEN MOST EXPENSIVE LOCATION
FOREIGNERS BUYING AGRESSIVELY
AVERAGE 30 YEAR FIXED RATE
NET WEALTH DIFFERENCE
DEMAND SUPPORT
2007 Program List
#1211 U.S. TRADE POLICY WITH CHINA
Featuring: Alan Holmer, Special Envoy For China, U.S. Department of Treasury
SLIDES:
GDP GROWTH
GDP FORECAST
WORLD’S LARGEST ECONOMIES 2050
U.S. TRADE DEFICIT
TRADE DEFICIT BY NATION
FX HOLDINGS
CHINA’S NATURAL RESOURCE DEMAND
OIL DEMAND
OIL SUPPLY
TYPES OF PETROLEUM NEEDED
SOYBEAN BAN
TEXTILE IMPORTS
DOUBT OVER CHINA’S OPEN MARKET
DECLINGIN QUALITY OF GOVERNANCE
UNFAIR AUTOMOTIVE TARIFFS
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE NIGHTMARE
INVESTMENT FRAUD
SCANDAL LIST 1
SCANDAL LIST 2
PENSION MONEY STOLEN
ECONOMIC CRIME FUGITIVES
GAP BETWEEN RICH AND POOR
ACQUISITION OF AERONAUTICS TECHNOLOGY
COMPUTER MANUFACTURING DOMINANCE
HIGH VALUE TRADE GROWS
RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY
BANKING SECTOR BY HOUSEHOLDS
DEBT TO GDP
BANK SECTOR DEBT
SOFTWARE PIRACY
FOOD/PRODUCT SAFETY ISSUES
TAINTED IMPORTS FROM CHINA
INVASIVE SPECIES AND DISEASE
SURPRESSING THEIR CURRENCY
MIDDLE CLASS GROWTH
EDUCATION ADVANCES
GROWTH IN HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
CHINA LOBBYS WASHINGTON
CHINA FDA HEAD EXECUTED
CHINA/U.S. FINANCIAL CO-DEPENDENCE
FDI KEEPS COMING
#1210 GLOBAL ECONOMIC/MARKET RISKS: WILL THE SKY FALL?
Reflections on Growing Trade and Current Account Imbalances, Private Equity, Hedge Funds and Derivative Markets
Featuring: Fred Bergsten, Director of the PETERSON INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, Daniel Yergin, Chairman Cambridge Energy Research ASSOCIATES, Clyde Prestowitz, President, Economic Strategy Institute, David Rubenstein, Founder, THE CARLYLE GROUP.
slides:
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS STOCK AVERAGE INDEX: ONE YEAR
SIGNS OF ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN: HOUSING, AUTOS, EMPLOYMENT
U.S. GDP
EMPLOYMENT DATA
GLOBAL GROWTH INDICATORS
U.S. TRADE DEFICIT TOTAL
U.S. TRADE DEFICIT BY NATION
FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS
U.S. TREASURY SALES TO FOREIGNERS
U.S. SLIPPING ON WORLD STAGE? GROWTH COMPARISONS
GDP COMPARISONS