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# 1517 U.S.-EUROPEAN REGULATORY REFORM & COORDINATION Part II
GUESTS: Peter Dehnen, DEHNEN LAWYERS, Tim Adams, Managing Director, THE LINDSEY GROUP
SLIDES:
1. GERMANY’S BAD BANKS
2. INTERNATIONAL REGULATOR
3. POLITICS DROVE DEREGULATION
4. EXPANSION OF FED’S POWER
5. GERMANY’S CHANCELLOR CRITICIZES U.S. & U.K.
6. EU SAYS BANK WRITE DOWNS WILL GROW
7. EU CALLS FOR REGIONAL SUPERVISION
8. NEW EUROPEAN RISK COUNCIL
9. MARKET REGULATORS CONSOLIDATE
10. VOLCKER URGES GLOBAL REGULATION
11. OBAMA URGES FINANCIAL OVERHAUL
12. U.S. CONGRESS WATERS-DOWN REFORMS
# 1516 U.S.-EUROPEAN REGULATORY REFORM & COORDINATION Part I
GUESTS: Jean-Marc Baissus, Director General FOUNDATION POUR LE DROIT CONTINENTAL (CIVIL LAW INITIATIVE), Marc Andre’, Past President, INSOL EUROPE Stephanie Zecevic, Notary, Real Estate Attorney, CONSEIL SUPERIEUR DU NOTARIAT, Angel Gurria, Secretary General, OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development)
SLIDES:
1. CURBING GLOBAL FINANCIAL TRADE
2. TOTAL NOTIONAL VALUE OF CD’S
3. CODE OF CONDUCT FOR DERIVATIVES
4. UK FSA BANK RULES
5. EUROPEAN BANK STRESS TEST RESULTS
6. ECB’S TRICHET CALLS FOR MARKET REGULATIONS
7. EUROPEANS PROPOSE TOUGHER REFORMS
8. FRENCH BANKRUPTCY LAW
9. FRENCH MORTGAGE GUIDELINES
10. BANKS FIGHT REGULATION OVERHAUL
11. MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES
# 1515 EMERGING MARKETS & PRIVATE EQUITY
GUESTS: Sarah Alexander, President, EMERGING MARKETS PRIVATE EQUITY ASSOCIATION, Aglae Touchard, Chargee d’Affairs, Fund Management, PROPARCO, French Development Agency, Teresa Barger, Managing Director, CARTICA CAPITAL
SLIDES:
1. CHANGES TO EM PE INVESTMENT STRATEGY
2. PRIVATE CAPITAL FLOWS
3. FUNDRAISING EVOLUTION IN U.S.
4. CHINA AND INDIA CONTINUE TO LEAD LP INVESTMENT STRATEGIES
5. LIMITED PARTNERS NOT RE-INVESTING WITH GENERAL PARTNERS
6. FACTORS LIKELY TO DETER LPS FROM REINVESTING NEXT 12 MONTHS
7. CHANGE IN OVERALL RISK OF EM PE
8. RISK PREMIUM RISES
9. OUTWARD FDI FLOW
10. CAPITAL CONSTRAINT IS PRIMARY REASON LPS REDUCE COMMITMENTS
11. DESPITE INCREASED RISK, LPS PLAN TO INCREASE EXPOSURE
MEDIA MATTERS
GUEST: Jeanie Clark, Founder, STEEL CORSET PRODUCTIONS
# 1514 SMALL BUSINESS AND STIMULUS SPENDING
GUESTS: Eric Dobyne, Regional Director, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Minority Business Development Agency, Steven Rogers, Director, Levy Institute for Entrepreneurial Practice, KELLOG SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT, Robert Colorina, Director, AMERICAN INDUSTRIAL ACQUISITION CORPORATION, Michael Granger, Chairman, CEO CAPITAL ACCESS FORUM
SLIDES:
1. FEDERAL GOVERNMENT SPENDING
2. INFRASTRUCTURE: PRODUCTIVE SPENDING
3. WHO PAYS FOR IT ALL?
4. RAIL USE GROWING
5. FUNDS FOR TRANSIT CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
6. $819 BILLION INFRASTRUCTURE BILL
7. OBSTACLES TO INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING
8. CONGRESS SPENDS $410 BILLION OMNIBUS
9. POTENTIAL U.S. SMALL BANK LOSSES
10. U.S. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE TREND ’99-‘09
11. THE BAILOUT IN BROAD TERMS
12. BANK BAILOUTS
13. WHAT IS TARP MONEY BEING SPENT ON?
14. BANK LOSSES TO EXCEED $2 TRILLION
15. LOCAL AND REGIONAL REQUESTS
16. AMERICAN RAILS LAG THE WORLD
17. U.S. RAIL SYSTEM IS TWO CENTURY OLD
18. U.S. AND JAPANESE GOVERNMENT DEBT HELD BY THE PUBLIC AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP, ’91-‘08
19. ROADS TO NOWHERE
20. LAST BIG HIGHWAY SPENDING PROGRAM – ½ CENTURY OLD
21. LOBBYING EFFORTS
MEDIA MATTERS
GUEST: Carol Bidault de l’Isle, Partner, MEDIA FUSION
# 1513 ASIA AND THE GLOBAL RECOVERY: CAN CHINA SAVE THE WORLD ECONOMY?
GUESTS: Mark DeWeaver, Partner, QUANTRARIAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, Masahiro Kawai, CEO, ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK INSTITUTE, Woo Yuen Pau, President, ASIA PACIFIC FOUNDATION OF CANADA, Chair, PACIFIC ECONOMIC COOPERATION COUNCIL
SLIDES:
1. CHINA SHANGHAI SE A SHAREXX: SHASHR (INDEX)
2. CHINA’S GDP DECELERATING MUCH FASTER THAN THE ’97-’98 ASIA CRISIS
3. WORLD BANK SLASHES CHINA GDP GROWTH
4. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS, VS CHINA SHANGHAI (INDEX)
5. CHINA RELIES ON ITS EXPORT MACHINE
6. WORLD TRADE TO FALL 9% IN 2009, COMPARED TO 4.6% GROWTH IN 1999
7. CHINA’S EXPORTS IN FREE FALL
8. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT GROWTH SLOWS DRAMATICALLY
9. FOREIGN BANKS BAILING OUT
10. WORLD’S LARGEST ECONOMIES 2050
11. FOUR TRILLION YUAN STIMULUS PROGRAM
12. CHINA’S STIMULUS CNY 4 TR ($586 BN)
13. STIMULUS EFFECTS WILL BE MUTED
14. WORLDWIDE GDP COLLAPSES
15. CAN CHINA ADD JOBS AND CONSUME?
16. A “W” RATHER THAN A “V” – SHAPED BOTTOM
17. GOVERNMENT INVESTMENT ONLY 1/3 OF TOTAL
18. THE TRADE WARS BEGIN
19. BANK CREDIT AND CASH UNABLE TO HELP
20. CHINA ECONOMIC RECOVERY? DOUBTFUL
21. STIMULUS SPAWNS CORRUPTION ANXIETY
22. CORRUPTION STILL PROBLEM
23. CHINA’S LEADER “WORRIED” OVER U.S. TREASURIES
24. CHINA’S PURCHASE OF U.S. TREASURIES SLOWS TO A TRICKLE
25. IMPORTANCE OF STRENGTHENING REGIONAL COOPERATION
26. % RESPONDENTS WHO EXPECTED WEAKER TO MUCH WEAKER ECONOMIC GROWTH FOR THE GLOBAL ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS
27. THE GLOBAL CRISIS WILL ACCELERATE THE PACE OF ASIAN ECONOMIC INTEGRATION AND COOPERATION
28. THE US ECONOMY WILL RECOVER FROM THE ECONOMIC CRISIS TO RESUME ITS LEADING POSITION IN THE WORLD ECONOMY?
29. WHAT ARE YOUR EXPECTATIONS FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
30. ECONOMIC STIMULUS AND RECOVERY PACKAGES % RESPONDENTS WHO WERE SATISFIED (NET-SATISFIED MINUS DISSATISFIED)
31. EXPECTATIONS FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH NEXT 12 MONTHS COMPARED WITH PAST YEAR?
32. IMPACT OF DEEPER REGIONAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
33. RATE THE FOLLOWING RISKS TO GROWTH FOR THE ASIA PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
# 1512 BANK “STRESS” TEST: OR PHONY BANK EXAM
GUESTS: DOUGLAS REDIKER, NEW AMERICA FOUNDATION and MARTIN WEISS of WEISS RESEARCH
SLIDES:
1. BANK BAILOUTS
2. HEDGE FUND MANAGER MOCKS BANKERS
3. AMERICA’S TRANSFORMATION TO A “FINANCIAL” ECONOMY
4. CHANGE IN BANKRUPTCY RULE MAY HAVE LED TO DEFAULTS
5. ASSETS HELD AT FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
6. WEISS EVALUATION OF STRESS TESTS
7. WEISS EVALUATION
8. WEISS EVALUATION
9. WEISS EVALUATION
10. ACCOUNTING GAMES BEGIN
11. MARK-TO-MARKET TOXIC ASSETS
12. U.S. OVERPAID FOR BANK TOXIC ASSETS
13. WEISS EVALUATION
14. WEISS EVALUATION
15. “SUBPRIME” IS TINY IN THE BIG PICTURE
16. THE FED’S FOOLISH ASSUMPTIONS
17. OOPS! FED ADJUSTS GDP DOWNWARD, BAILOUT TOTAL UP
18. DERIVATIVES MARKETS SKYROCKET!
19. GOVERNMENT FUNDS COMMITTED TO DATE, GROWS AND GROWS
20. BANK LOSSES TO EXCEED $2 TRILLION
21. BAILING OUT THOSE WHO CAUSED THE CRISIS
22. U.S. GOVERNMENT/BANKS STILL FACE MAJOR LOSSES/DEBT ISSUE
23. TOTAL ANNUAL DEFICIT, OR SURPLUS AS SHARE OF U.S. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
# 1511 WILL OBAMA’S IMAGE PROMOTE BETTER TRADE FOR THE U.S.?
GUESTS: Pierre Vimont, FRENCH AMBASSADOR TO THE U.S., Klaus Scharioth, GERMAN AMBASSADOR TO THE U.S., Petr Kolar, CZECH AMBASSADOR TO THE U.S., Mikail Gorbachev, Former Secretary General of the SOVIET UNION, Former President of the RUSSIAN FEDERATION, Imad Moustapha, AMBASSADOR OF SYRIA, John Bruton, DELEGATION TO THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION, Doug Berry, US COMMERCIAL SERVICES, U.S. Department of Commerce
SLIDES:
1. OPINIONS ON THE US MILITARY PRESENCE IN THE MIDDLE EAST
2. VIEWS OF THE UNITED STATES’ INFLUENCE
3. CONFIDENCE IN BUSH
4. CONFIDENCE IN PUTIN
5. PREDICTED CHANGES IN US RELATIONS WITH WORLD DUE TO ELECTION OF BARACK OBAMA
6. PRIORITIES FOR THE NEW US ADMINISTRATION
7. EVEN LOSING OUR CLOSEST FRIENDS
8. “WAR WORTH FIGHTING” – SINCE 4/03
9. ARAB VIEWS
10. OPINIONS OF THE US GOVERNMENT’S HANDLING OF...
MEDIA MATTERS
GUEST: ANDY EDMUNDS, THE INTERNATIONAL FILM INDUSTRY IN VIRGINIA
SLIDES:
1. MOVIE TICKET SALES AND PRICES RISE
2. 2009 STARTS WITH A LION’S ROAR
3. SUCCESS FORMULA: FUND AND DUMB
4. FILM PRODUCTION TO FALL
# 1510 SMALL INVESTORS FIGHTING AGAINST INVESTMENT FRAUD
GUEST: BILL DANZELL, CEO, INVESTMENT RECOVERY ADVISORS and AUTHOR: "Give Me Back My Money"
SLIDES:
1. “GIVE ME BACK MY MONEY” BY WILLIAM DANZELL
2. DOW INDUSTRIAL 10-YEAR PERFORMANCE
3. FORMAL INVESTOR COMPLAINTS
4. NO SHORTAGE OF INVESTMENT “PROFESSIONAL”
5. INVESTOR RETURNS SIGNIFICANTLY LOG RETURN ON THEIR INVESTMENTS
6. FINRA`S ROLE AS COMPLAINTS SOAR
7. SMALL INVESTORS ARE ANGRY AS WELL
8. FORMAL ACTIONS RESOLVED
9. MUTUAL FUNDS: SHOCK THERAPY
10. MUTUAL FUNDS FALLING SHORT
11. RETIREMENT SAVINGS DISAPPEAR
12. SIPC INADEQUATELY FUNDED
13. GROWTH OF A HYPOTHETICAL $ 100 OVER 30 YEARS
14. THE REAL VALUE OF YOUR INVESTMENTS AFTER 30 YEARS
15. DON'T CONFUSE STOCK MARKET GROWTH WITH (YOUR) AVERAGE INVESTOR RETURNS
16. INVESTMENT BANK SHENANIGANS
17. INVESTMENT FIRM SHENANIGANS
18. PONZI TYPE SCHEMES AND JUST BAD INVESTMENT FIRM
19. SEC DISCOVERS RATING AGENCY ISSUES
20. STILL MORE SHENANIGANS
21. ACCOUNTING GAMES BEGIN
22. MARK TO MARKET TOXIC ASSETS
23. JAPAN'S NIKKEI
24. THE IDIOCY OF MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
25. FUNDS SCANDALS GROW IN SIZE
26. S.E.C.`S OWN “INSIDE” TRADING PROBLEMS
27. 401 K WITHDRAWALS HALTED
#1509 THE AIG SCANDAL AND RAMPANT FRAUD IN FINANCIAL/INVESTMENT INSTITUTIONS
GUESTS: GEORGE SOROS, SOROS FOUNDATION, ROBERT JOHNSON, SOROS FUNDS, ALAN GREENSPAN, Frmr. FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIRMAN, Ken Feltman, President Radnor Inc.
SLIDES:
1. Bush W. Bailout – Tarp I
2. Change in bankruptcy rule
3. America’s transformation to a “financial” economy
4. Government funds committed to date, grows and grows
5. Derivatives Markets skyrocket
6. Assets held at financial intermediaries
7. Bailing out who caused the crisis
8. Upcoming bond defaults expected to set record
9. Commercial delinquencies soar
10. Commercial mortgage securities defaults rise
11. Hedge fund extinction
12. More shoes to drop in 2009
13. U.S. overpaid for bank toxic assets
14. Tarp said to be ripe for fraud
15. Bank losses to exceed $ 2 Trillion
16. Pricing toxic assets for the fed?
17. U.S. Government/Bank still face major losses\debt issue
18. AIG “rebranding” its name
19. Bank bailouts
20. No bonuses for Wall Street
21. One trillion dollars
22. AIG taxpayer bailout cash to foreign clients
23. Bailout recipients owe uncle Sam taxes
24. Bank may have to replace CEO’s
25. Senator Dodd in trouble
26. Risk management
27. Spreading “tarp” over a leaking roof
28. Tarp money
29. “Subprime” is tiny in the big picture
30. Presidential Approval Index
31. Give President Obama a grade
32. No confidence in congress
33. Why Congress bailout Wall Street, rather than main street?
34. 2008 top recipient of AIG contributions
35. The best government money can buy
36. Behind the AIG bonuses
37. Summers has sticky ties to Wall Street
38. Treasury dept
39. Accounting games begin
40. Total Annual deficit
#1508 CAN CHINA OR THE G-20 SAVE THE WORLD ECONOMY?
GUEST: ALAN TONELSON, Chief Economist, U S BUSINESS & INDUSTRY COUNCIL
SLIDES:
1. G20 meeting and mixed results
2. “Bric equity markets 2009
3. World Bank slashes China GDP GROWTH
4. U.S. trade deficit with China continues
5. China’s export in free fall
6. China relies on its export machine
7. Four Trillion Yuan stimulus program
8. Stimulus effects will be muted
9. Stimulus spawns corruption anxiety
10. Corruption still problem
11. Bank credit and cash unable to help
12. Can China add jobs and consume?
13. China economy recovery
14. China’s purchase of U.S. treasuries slows to a trickle
15. China’s leader “worried” over U.S. treasuries
16. Foreign banks bailing out
17. G-20 “stimulus”
18. The trade wars begin
GUEST: Raymond Baker, Managing Director, GLOBAL FINANCIAL INTEGRITY
SLIDES:
1. BAILOUT TOTALS
2. TAX GAP UNCOLLECTED
3. TAX SCHEMES
4. CAYMAN ISLAND STILL LEADS
5. EVASION DESTINATION SPREADING WORLDWIDE
6. NON-OECD
7. SWISS BANKING
8. FINANCIAL OUTFLOWS
9. AMERIDEBT
10. HEDGE FUNDS
11. U.S. TAX DODGERS USE INFRASTRUCTURE
12. FEDS PROMOTE SOME DODGING
13. FAR REACHING TAX SCHEMES
14. IRS REQUIRES TIPS
15. IRS SEEKS RECORDS ON EVERYBODY
16. IT’S THE WEALTHY STUPID
17. UBS GAME PLAN
18. EUROPEAN TAX HAVENS
19. SLAP ON THE FINGERS
20. AGENCY HEADS: FINE EXAMPLES
21. WEAK CONGRESSIONAL EFFORTS
22. MISPLACED RESOURCES
23. AUDITS FALL SHORT
24. CRIMINAL CHARGES FEW AND FAR AWAY
25. ENFORCEMENT ACTIONS
26. DERIVATIVE PUZZLE
27. INTERNATIONAL FLIGHT
28. ILLICIT BIGGEST MOVERS
29. TOP 7
#1506 MORTGAGE FRAUD: THE OTHER REASON BEHIND THE HOUSING CRISIS
GUEST: JOHN MURPHY, CEO of MARCOR INVESTIGATIONS INC.
SLIDES:
1. Existing Home Sales, 2005-2008
2. Defaults, Swimming, Foreclosures
3. Properties in Foreclosure 2006-2009
4. Seeds of the financial crisis
5. Fannie Mae Loosened Standard in 1999
6. Mortgage originations
7. Mortgage fraud pervasive
8. Quick defaults smell of fraud
9. The mortgage broker
10. Option arm’s defaults soar
11. Housing push for Hispanics lod to wave of foreclosures
12. The Yield spread premium
13. Banks add to mortgage arms loss reserves
14. Growth in mortgage loan fraud
15. Majority of loans for “affordable housing goals”
16. “Liar loans”
17. Mortgage investigations soar
18. President’s plan to stem foreclosure surge
19. Mortgage “cramdown” plan
20. Still trouble closing the mortgage “barn door”
21. Subprime litigation climbs
22. Less than prime market is big equity backing home mortgages
23. Ahead for 2009-2012
# 1505 WASHINGTON, D.C.: THE NATION'S ECONOMIC & FINANCIAL POWER
GUESTS: Ken Feltman, Founder/CEO, RADNOR INC., Former President, AMERICAN LOBBYISTS ASSOCIATION, Sigrid Zialcita, Director Research: CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD, Sherry Moeller, Editor-in-Chief, CAPITOL FILE
SLIDES:
1. Bush W. Bailout – Tarp I: larger than any in history
2. Bonuses to record heights
3. Bailout Vs other spending programs
4. A growing profession
5. Total Financial Bailout
6. Washington decides Detroit’s fate?
7. The bailout in broad terms
8. Tarp said to be ripe for fraud
9. Commercial rents U.S. 2008
10. Retail sales
11. Home price retreat in cities with largest gains
12. Virginia sales jumped in 2008
13. Median household incomes rank at top of the nation
14. Bailout costs thus for 2008|2009
#1504 COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE’S TEETERING CRANES
GUESTS: SIGRID ZAILCITA, Head Research, Washington, D.C., CUSHMAN WAKEFIELD REAL ESTATE
SLIDES:
1. Global Commercial Rents
2. Commercial delinquencies soar
3. Inventories are growing fast
4. China’s trade slumps
5. Commercial rents U.S. $ 2008
6. Lenders grapple over Chicago’s Hancock tower debt
7. Lehman brothers’ commercial real estate legacy
8. Commercial mortgage securities default rise
9. Upcoming bond defaults expected to set record
10. Home prices retreat in cities with largest gains
#1503 CARIBBEAN’S ECONOMIC CRISIS
GUESTS: ALVARO CASSERLY, Frmr. Chair, JAMAICAN STOCK EXCHANGE, AUGUSTE RIMPEL, Trustee, CARIBBEAN/CENTRAL AMERICAN ACTION, SAMUAL MARTIN, Chair, TRINIDAD/TOBAGO HERITAGE AND STABILIZATION FUND, PABLO BREARD, V.P. Research, Head, SCOTIA CAPITAL
SLIDES:
1. Central America: 2008 GDP Growth
2. Caribbean States: 2008 GDP Growth
3. Fastest Growing Export Markets for U.S.
4. Gross Domestic Products
5. U.S. Runs a trade surplus with neighbor el Salvador
6. Fastest Growing Trade Partners with U.S.
7. Central America: on even trading partner with U.S.
#1502 CENTRAL AMERICA’S CAPITAL CRUNCH
GUESTS: PAT MINICUCCI, Sr. V.P. SCOTIA BANK, ANGELA BROCK, Partner, INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL GROUP, JOHN RODRIQUEZ, V.P. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL BANKERS ASSOCIATION, JORGE ROLDAN, Division Chief, INTER-AMERICAN INVESTMENT CORPORATION
SLIDES:
1. Central America: 2008 GDP Growth
2. Caribbean States: 2008 GDP Growth
3. Fastest Growing Export Markets for U.S.
4. Gross Domestic Products
5. U.S. Runs a trade surplus with neighbor el Salvador
6. Fastest Growing Trade Partners with U.S.
7. Central America: on even trading partner with U.S.
#1501 U.S.- RUSSIA RELATIONS
GUEST: ANDREY KORTUNOV, PRESIDENT, NEW EURASIA FOUNDATION, VLADISLAV ZUBOK, PROF. OF HISTORY, TEMPLE UNIVERSITY, KARINA KOROSTELINA, GEORGE MASON UNIVERSITY
SLIDES:
1. RUSSIA IS NOW EUROPE’S BIGGEST CAR MARKET, CHEVROLET BEST-SELLING BRAND
2. RELATION HAVE WORSENED
3. EVALUATION OF THE U.S. POLICY TOWARDS RUSSIA
4. THE GOVERNMENT OF ANY COUNTRY IS THE MOST IMPORTANT INSTITUTION FOR LEADING THE NATION TO PROGRESS AND PROSPERITY
5. UNNECESSARY INTERVENTION
6. AN EFFECTIVE ECONOMIC U.S.-RUSSIA ALLIANCE BASED ON…
7. THE PRIMARY FUNCTION OF ANY NATION’S GOVERNMENT
#1500 CREDIT MARKET’S DAM BURSTING
GUESTS: NEAL SULLIVAN, Former Executive Director, NORTH AMERICAN SECURITIES ADMINISTRATORS ASSOCIATION, MARY GODSHALL, Financial Correspondent, Reuters, Bloomberg, Forbes, BRAD SHERMAN, (D-CA) HOUSE FINANCIAL SERVICES COMMITTEE, STEPHEN HARBECK, President, SIPC, Lynn Tilton, CEO of PATRIARCH PARTNERS.
SLIDES:
1. U.S. Economic Indicators
2. Dow Jones Industrial Average 10 – Years Performance
3. S.E.C.`s misplaced priorities
4. S.I.P.C. Funds Vs Liabilities
5. The financial flood
6. S.E.C. Examined Madoff`s $ 50 billion hedge fund over and over again
7. President Obama now supporting additional bailout funding
8. U.S. debt indicators
9. Spreading “Tarp” Over a leaking roof
10. Tarp money being spent on
11. Bank losses to exceed $ 2 trillion
12. Wall Street has plenty of capital
13. Questions of “inside” favors, connections with regulators
14. Why did congress bailout Wall Street, rather than Main Street?
15. Wall Streets bailout
16. The infamous “S.I.V.”
17. No precedent in U.S. history
18. Toxic debt
19. Americas transformation to a “financial” economy
20. Credit default swaps out of control
21. Derivatives markets explode
22. Debt
23. Financial history lesson
24. Separating conflicts of interests
25. Wall Street Morphs – into banking
26. More shoes to drop in 2009
27. Obama’s choice to head the S.E.C.
#1432 BANKS AND BOGUS BAILOUTS
GUESTS: LEO HINDARY, CHAIRMAN, NEW AMERICAN FOUNDATION, ALAIN MENDELOWITZ, FORMER CHAIRMAN, FEDERAL HOUSING FINANCE BOARD
SLIDES:
1. NO PRECEDENT IN US HISTORY
2. FINANCIAL LOSSES GREATER IN MAGNITUDE
3. ASSET HELD AT FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
4. CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS OUT OF CONTROL
5. TOXIC DEBT
6. US ASSET-BACKED COMMERCIAL PAPER
7. BANK LOSSES TO EXCEED $2 TRILLION IN STEADY FALL
8. INTEREST RATES JUMP, HOUSING SLUMPS
9. STANDARD & POOR’S HYPOTHETICAL SOVEREIGN RATING OF US CREDIT
10. SEPARATING CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
11. FED PROPOSES RESTRICTIONS ON EXOTIC MORTGAGES
12. HIGHEST PERCENTAGE OF BANKS TIGHTENING HOME MORTGAGE STANDARDS SINCE 1980
13. WALL STREET HAS PLENTY OF CAPITAL
14. IF US TAX PAYERS AND THEIR TREASURY, WERE ONLY TREATED LIKE A FOREIGN, SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUND…
15. WALL STREET MORPHED-INTO BANKING ?
16. IT’S NOT CAPITAL BUT DEMAND THAT’S FALLING OFF.
# 1431 THE SECRET WORLD OF PRIVATE CAPITAL: PRIVATE EQUITY, HEDGE FUNDS, SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS AND TODAY’S GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS
GUESTS: Thomas Puetter, ALLIANZ CAPITAL PARTNERS; David Rubenstein, CARLYLE GROUP; David Hale, HALE ADVISORS (Chicago)
SLIDES:
1. “PRIVATE CAPITAL” TAES SEVERAL FORMS
2. DOWNSIDES OF PRIVATE EQUITY
3. CURRENT OVERSIGHT OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS INADEQUATE FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
4. ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT (In $ Trillions)
5. FIRE SALE: BANKS SELL EQUITY STAKES TO RAISE RESERVE CAPITAL
6. PRIVATE EQUITY FIRMS WEAVE A TANGLED WEB OR RELATIONSHIPS
7. HEDGE FUNDS: “CONS” ON THE FEDS
8. KL GROUP ACCUSED OF ‘MASSIVE FRAUD’
9. CALLS FOR HEDGE FUND RESTRAINTS
10. DISPUTE OVER HEDGE FUNDS
11. BUY-OUT FUND PERFORMANCE MUST BE MADE MUCH CLEARER
12. IS BIG BETTER AND FOR WHOM?
13. PRIVATE EQUITY RETURNS ARE NOT SO HOT AFTER ALL
14. GROWTH OF U.S. BUYOUT & VENTURE INDUSTRIES
15. CARLYLE OUTMANEUVERS OBJECTIONS TO GRAB MANOR CARE
16. WHY DRIVERS PRIVATE EQUITY & BUY OUT FUNDS?
17. ANSWER: FEES AND COMMISSIONS
18. SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS
19. REGULATORS WARY OF HEDGE FUND INFLUENCE ON MARKETS
20. CONGRESS SAVES PRIVATE EQUITY EXECUTIVES FROM TAXES
21. “ EMPE7” EMERGED PRIVATE EQUITY MARKETS
22. SUB-PRIME BANK LOSSES WRITE-DOWN'S) In $ Billions
23. SUBPRIME DELINQUENCIES AND FORECLOSURES
24. CHINA DETERMINED TO PUT-BID RIVALS TO ACQUIRE WORLD’S LARGEST MINING COMPANY
25. FIRE SALE: INVESTMENT BANKS SELL STAKES TO RAISE RESERVE CAPITAL
26. DERIVATIVES MARKETS EXPLODE! (TRILLIONS OF $ DOLLARS)
27. DERIVATIVES’ EXPLOSIVE HISTORY
28. TOO MANY HEDGE FUNDS & RISKS?
29. FED PROPOSES RESTRICTIONS ON EXOTIC MORTGAGES
30. DERIVATIVES’ EXPLOSIVE HISTORY (cont)
31. 1995 WISCONSIN’S $6.7 BILLION STATE INVESTMENT
#1430 WAR AND OIL
GUEST: RICHARD VAGUE, FORMER CEO, FIRST USA & BARCLAYS USA
SLIDES:
1. OIL RESERVE
2. WORLD’S LARGEST OIL EXPORTERS
3. OIL PRICES PER/BARREL (10 YEARS)
4. CORN PRICES INCREASE
5. SOYBEAN PRICE INCREASE
6. OIL CONSUMPTION INCREASE- 10 YEARS
7. PRICE OF CRUDE OIL
8. PRICE OF EURO & THE DOLLARS
9. OIL PRICES IN EUROS
10. IRAQ OIL STOCKS COULD BE DOUBLE EARLIER ESTIMATES
11. IRAQ INVITES FOREIGN OIL MAJORS IN
12. IRAQ FUNDS SOMETIMES DISAPPEAR
13. IRAQ BANKING BILLIONS IN SURPLUSES
14. ALTERNATIVE SPENDING ON IRAQ WAR
15. COST OF U.S. WAR
16. COST OF WAR 2
17. TOTAL COST OF IRAQ WAR 1
18. IRAQ WAR COST 2
19. ANNUAL DEFENSE & INTELLIGENCE EXPENDITURES
20. U.S. DEBT
21. WINNERS IN HIGH OIL PRICE SCENARIOS
22. ANNUAL DEFENSE BUDGETS
23. PENTAGON WEAPONS BUDGET
#1429 DIGGING TO CHINA
GUEST: ROBERT SHERRETTA, PRESIDENT, INTERNATIONAL INVESTOR
SLIDES:
1. SHANGHAI STOCK MARKET EXCHANGE 1
2. INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SURGE
3. SHANGHAI STOCK EXCHANGE 2
4. INWARD INVESTMENT CONTINUES IN TO CHINA
5. FOREIGN EXCHANGE HOLDING
6. MOVES SLOWLY ON EXCHANGES RATES
7. CHINA OUT-BIDS RIVALS TO ACQUIRE WORLD’S LARGEST MINING COMPANY
8. US DOLLARS & CHINESE RENMINBI
9. RENMINBI SUPPLANTS DOLLARS IN NEW ASIAN BONDS
10. WORLD’S LARGEST ECONOMIES 2050
11. IF CHINA “REBALANCES” ITS RESERVES
#1428 MORTGAGE CRISIS II
GUESTS: WILLIAM APGAR, HARVARD UNIVERSITY, JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES, ELLEN SEIDMAN, FINANCIAL SERVICES & EDUCATION, NAF, CHARLES STEINDEL, SR. V.P., FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NY, RANDAL QUARLES, MANAGING DIRECTOR, THE CARLYLE GROUP
SLIDES:
1. PRIME CONFORMING MORTGAGE RATES REMAIN LOW BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS
2. AVERAGE AMERICAN DEBT BURDEN
3. ALMOST HALF OF NEW BUYERS ALREADY “UNDERWATER”
4. …WITH MORE ON THE WAY, NUMBER OF UNDERWATER HOMEOWNERS
5. THE INFAMOUS “S.I.V”
6. WALL STREETS BONUSES REWARD RISK AND FAILURE
7. …OR CASE SHILLER
8. MANY SLEEPING BEHIND
9. CONSUMERS STRUGGLE WITH FALLING HOUSE PRICES
10. MORTGAGE AND BANKING CRISIS
11. WITH HITS LOW-MID INCOME HOUSEHOLDS HARD
12. FORECLOSURE SURGE…
13. HUGE INVENTORY OF UNSOLD HOMES
14. U.S. BANK HOOKED ON TRADING
15. SUB-PRIME BANK LOSSES
16. KANSAS BANK -9TH SHUT DOWN THIS YEAR
17. AUTO LOAN DELINQUENCIES HAVE SPIKED UP
18. FORECLOSURE, DEFAULTS, SWIMMING
19. BANK LOSSES TO EXCEED $2 TRILLION
#1427 DIGITAL HOLLYWOOD
GUESTS: LARRY GERBRANDT, PRINCIPAL, MEDIA VALUATION PARTNER, SETH SHAPIRO, PRINCIPAL, NEW AMSTERDAM MEDIA, ALX KLIVE, CEO, WORLD TV, CORGE SMITH, CEO, MEDIA GEMS, JAMES ROBERT, ESQ., GLOBAL CAPITAL LAW GROUP
SLIDES:
1. MEDIA/ENTERTAINMENT: PRIME TARGET FOR PRIVATE EQUITY
2. BENCHMARKING ONLINE VIDEO
3. SOME MEDIA MATH
4. VIDEO VIEWING SHARE
5. ONLINE VIDEO IN PERSPECTIVE
6. NEW PLAYERS BRING TV TO THE WEB
7. “DIGITAL GENERATION” STILL WATCHES TRADITIONAL TELEVISION
8. INTERNET PROTOCOL TELEVISION
9. MOBILE INTERNET ACCESS INCREASES TENFOLD
10. NEW PLAYERS ARISE
11. MOBILE WINDOWS
12. IMPACT ON LIBRARY VALUES
13. OLYMPIC CABLE TV BOOMS FOR NBC
14. OLYMPIC ONLINE CLICKS WITH NBC
15. ON-DEMAND CHALLENGES AD MODEL
16. CONTENT VALUATION BASICS
17. “DIGITAL GENERATION STILL WATCHES TRADITIONAL TELEVISION
18. CBS INTERACTIVE TRAFFIC INCREASES
19. ADVERTISING REVENUE DOUBLES
20. WHAT IS AMERICA WATCHING?
21. LEGAL RISKS LICENSE SCOPE
22. ROW: THE PC IS NO THE WAY TO THE WEB
23. ROW: ALREADY DEPLOYING MDTV
24. NEW (& IMPROVED) REVENUE SERVICES
25. CONGRESS TO EXAMINE TARGETING ONLINE ADS
#1426 SUSTAINABILITY AND “GREENING” BUSINESS
GUESTS: BRUCE PIASECKI, PRESIDENT, AHC GROUP, KATHLEEN MATTHEWS, EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT, MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL
SLIDES:
1. EXAMPLES OF FINANCIAL POLICE ACTIONS
2. WELCOME TO WORLD INC.
3. GROWTH IS GOOD IF IT MEETS RISING SOCIAL EXPECTATIONS
4. KEY POINTS ON GLOBALIZATION AND CHIEF FINANCIAL REPORTING OBLIGATIONS
5. U.S. PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION
6. ENERGY STAR HOME INCREASING
7. ELECTRICITY SUPPLY
8. U.S. CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS BY SECTOR AND FUEL
9. A SET OF APPROACHING BENEFITS
#1425 MORTGAGE CRISIS I
GUEST: MARK ZANDI, CHIEF ECONOMIST, MOODY’S ECONOMY.COM
SLIDES:
1. MORTGAGE AND BANKING CRISIS
2. U.S. BANKS HOOKED ON TRADING
3. WILL THE REAL HOUSE PRICE PLEASE STAND UP…
4. CONSUMERS STRUGGLE WITH FALLING HOUSE PRICES…
5. ..IS IT OFHEO…
6. FORECLOSURES SURGE…
7. … WHICH HITS LOW-MID INCOME HOUSEHOLD HARD
8. …WITH MORE ON THE WAY, NUMBER OF UNDERWATER HOMEOWNERS
9. HUGE INVENTORY OF UNSOLD HOMES
10. ALMOST HAFE OF NEW BUYERS ALREADY “UNDER WATER”
11. AVERAGE AMERICAN DEBT BURDEN
12. MANY SLIPPING BEHIND
#1424 WORLD’S WEALTH PART II
GUESTS: EDWARD WOLFF, New York UNIVERSITY
SLIDES:
1. OBJECTIVE OF STUDY
2. SOCIAL IMMOBILITY: END OF THE AMERICAN “DREAM”
3. COLLAPSE IN VALUE OF PENSIONS
4. ASSET COMPOSITIONS IN SELECTED COUNTRIES
5. THE DEFAULT RATE ON SUBPRIME LOANS
6. MORTGAGE AND BANKING CRISIS
7. CHANGING FORTUNES
8. WHERE DO THE RICHEST 10% LIVE?
9. WHERE DO THE RICHEST 1% LIVE?
10. MAJORITIES IN US NOW BELIEVE THE RICH/POOR GAP IS TOO WIDE
11. MILLIONAIRES AND BILLIONAIRES
12. PERCENTAGE MEMBERSHIP OF WEALTHIEST 10%
13. PERCENTAGE MEMBERSHIP OF WEALTHIEST 1%
14. WORLD CONCENTRATION OF WEALTH DISTILLS DOWN TO VERY FEW
15. U.S. SLIPPING FAST FROM # ONE
16. POPULATIONS AND WEALTH SHARE BY REGIONS
17. REGIONAL COMPOSITION OF GLOBAL WEALTH DISTRIBUTION
18. GEOGRAPHICAL SPREAD OF WEALTH
19. WORLD PUBLIC OPINION CONSIDERS GAP BETWEEN RICH AND POOR TO BE TOO WIDE
20. COMPOSITION OF FINANCIAL WEALTH
21. WEALTH LEVELS ACROSS COUNTRIES
22. THE GLOBAL RICH
23. SOCIAL SECURITY: CRITICAL FOR MANY
24. BUDGET DEFICIT BANKRUPTING SECURITY
25. WEALTH INEQUALITY IS VERY HIGH
26. CONCLUSIONS
# 1423 THE MIDDLE EAST AFTER BUSH
GUESTS: DAVID HAMOD, CEO, NATIONAL U.S.-ARAB CHAMBER OF COMMERCE, ESSAM ALBAKR, DIGITAL COMPUTER SYSTEMS, DROSTEN FICHER, MONITOR GROUP
SLIDES:
1. CAUSE OF TENSIONS BETWEEN ISLAM AND THE WEST
2. PRIVATIZING STATE-CONTROLLED MONOPOLIES
3. OIL WEALTH SPURS DIVERSIFICATION
4. SAUDI BUILDING PROGRAM TO RIVAL EGYPT'S PHARAOHS
5. SAUDI MARKET DIVERSIFICATION CONTINUES
6. GDP GROWTH IN GULF STATES
7. SAUDI REAL ESTATE SECTOR…
8. GULF STATES' OIL DEPENDENCY
9. MIDDLE EAST PRIVATE EQUITY BOOMING
10. GULF STATES STOCKS SELLING OFF
11. S&P 500 SHARIAH SECTOR BREAK DOWN
12. MARKET CAP($ US)
# 1422 P2P (PEER TO PEER) TELEVISION
GUESTS: DOUGLAS PASKO, VERIZON TECHNOLOGY, BRUCE BENSON, FTI CONSULTING, LIMOR SCHAFMAN, KEYSTONE TECH, LAIRD POPKIN, CO-FOUNDER, PANDO, KAP SHIN, TVU NETWORK
SLIDES:
1. PEER-TO- PEER: PERCEIVED AS THREAT TO INTERNET CONTENT PROVIDERS
2. SHARING MODEL MEETS AS RESISTANCE
3. SOCIAL NETWORK SITES
4. VERIZON BREAKS RANKS WITH THE INDUSTRY
5. “WEB-VERTISING” REVENUE DOUBLES
6. WATCHING MORE TV THAN EVER
7. “DIGITAL GENERATION” STILL WATCHES TRADITIONAL TELEVISION
8. MOST INFLUENTIAL ADVERTISING
9. MEASURING THE NEW MEDIA
10. MEASURING ADVERTISING EFFECTIVENESS
11. MAINSTREAM MEDIA UP AGAINST ON-LINERS
12. NEW PLAYERS ARISE
13. WHAT IS AMERICA WATCHING?
14. NEW AD PLATFORMS: SOCIAL NETWORKS & COMMUNITIES
15. FILE SHARING EXPLODING
16. INTER-ACTIVE TV PLAYERS EMERGE
17. ONLINE MEDIA STRUGGLES TO SURVIVE
18. PANDO: PUTTING DATA DELIVERY ON STEROIDS
#1421 INTERACTIVE TELEVISION
GUESTS: ED FORMAN, ICTV; ROBERT GONZALVEZ, ICTV; DOUGLAS FULTON, PRESIDENT OF ENTERTAINMENT, DAVE NETWORKS; BRUCE PHILLIPS, DAVE NETWORKS; GARRETT LAW, CEO, ATTENTION SPAN MEDIA;
SLIDES:
1. TV’S EVOLUTION TO “INTERACTIVE”
2. AMERICANS GOING HIGH SPEED
3. ENTERTAINMENT EVERYWHERE
4. THE COMPUTER AS ENTERTAINMENT
5. CELL PHONE APPLICATIONS USE
# 1420 “DIGITALIZATION OF NEWS”
GUESTS: FRANK NEIN, CO-FOUNDER, LEXICON DIGITAL COMMUNICATIONS, LESLIE MOONVES, CEO, CBS CORPORATION; HASSAN MIAH, CEO, MYPRGENIE; HERBERT GRANATH, CHAIRMAN EMERITUS, ESPN; MICHAEL TERPIN, TERPIN COMMUNICATIONS
SLIDES:
1. SWITCH TO DIGITAL TV
2. TV EVOLVES TO INTERNET DELIVERY
3. COMPUTER AS “TV” DEVICE
4. AMERICA’S HIGH SPEED INTERNET PENETRATION
5. ENTERTAINMENT MEDIA USAGE BY TYPE
6. MOBILE DEVICE TV
7. MEDIA AND PRIVATE EQUITY
8. CBS SEARCHING FOR ACQUISITIONS
9. WEB-VERTISING REVENUES
10. U.S. POPULATION BY AGE GROUPS
11. DIGITAL GENERATION-STILL WATCHING TRADITIONAL TV
12. “AMERICAN IDOL’S” HUGE SUCCESS
13. READERSHIP UP AT NEWSPAPER WEBSITES
14. WATCHING TRADITIONAL TV ON THE WEB
15. WHAT CONTENT IS AMERICA WATCHING ON THE WEB?
16. % PEOPLE READING NEWSPAPERS
17. NEWSPAPER READERSHIP BY AGE GROUP
18. NEW PLAYERS ARISE
19. SPECIALIZED PORTALS
20. OTHER NATION’S VIEW OF AMERICAN CULTURE
21. MEDIA SEEN AS “ POSITIVE FORCE” BY MOST NATIONS
22. AMERICAN MOVIES AND TV AS SEEN AROUND THE WORLD
23. INTERNET GROWTH IN CHINA
#1419 GLOBALIZATION OF MEDIA II
GUESTS: CAROLINA BARBA, HOLLYWOOD CAFÉ, NANCY APOLO, SANDRA CARTER GLOBAL, CARLOS BARBA, FOUNDER, CHAIRMAN, CARIBEVISION HOLDINGS, CARL BERGSTRUM, CEO, BACK BAY PRODUCTIONS, TOMMY HABEEB, AMERICAN TELEVISION DISTRIBUTIONS
SLIDES:
1. THE BIG SWITCH TO DIGITAL TV
2. NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF TELEVISION AND PROGRAMMING EXECUTIVES, LAS VEGAS
3. HOLLYWOOD CAFÉ
4. CARLOS BARBA, A GIANT IN LATIN TELEVISION
5. TOMMY HABEEB: THE MAN BEHIND AMERICAN TELEVISION DISTRIBUTION
#1418 TELEVISION AND COMPUTER CONVERGENCE
GUESTS: JOHN & MORGAN LANGLEY, LANGLEY PRODUCTIONS (“COPS”); TONI LEIPONEN, CEO/CO-FOUNDER, THE ICAREUS GROUP; KALEIL ISAZA TUZMAN, CHAIRMAN AND CEO, ROO GROUP, DUBAI MEDIA CITY
SLIDES:
1. Bush W. Bailout – Tarp I: larger than any in history
2. Bonuses to record heights
3. Bailout Vs other spending programs
4. A growing profession
5. Total Financial Bailout
6. Washington decides Detroit’s fate?
7. The bailout in broad terms
8. Tarp said to be ripe for fraud
9. Commercial rents U.S. 2008
10. Retail sales
11. Home price retreat in cities with largest gains
12. Virginia sales jumped in 2008
13. Median household incomes rank at top of the nation
14. Bailout costs thus for 2008|2009
# 1417 U.S. TRADE POLICY WITH CHINA
GUESTS: William Hawkins, United States Business & Industry Council; Ambassador Susan Schwab, U.S. TRADE REPRESENTATIVE; Yi Gang, Assistant Governor THE PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA; Zhou Wenzhong, Ambassador CHINESE EMBASSY TO THE U.S.
SLIDES:
1. U.S. TRADE BALANCE (DEFICITS)
2. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES
3. HUGE TRADE GAP
4. U.S TRADE DEFICITS: BY NATION
5. FOREIGN EXCHANGE HOLDINGS (In billions of U.S. $)
6. U.S TRADE REPRESENTATIVES WIN SMALL VICTORIES WITH CHINESE
7. CHINA OUT-BIDS RIVALS TO ACQUIRE WORLD’S LARGEST MINING COMPANY
8. ACQUISITION OF TECHNOLOGIES AND HIGH-TECH KNOWHOW
9. U.S. TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA BROADENING TO “HIGH VALUE”
10. USURPING FOREIGN TECHNOLOGY
11. CHINESE BUILDING OWN AIRCRAFT
12. INWARD INVESTMENT CONTINUES INTO CHINA
13. FIRST TRADE?
14. CHINA’S LOBBYING EFFORT
15. TECH SALES TO CHINA QUESTIONED
16. CHINA SIMPLY SAYS NO TO THE U.S
17. FIG. 1 CHINA TARGET INTEREST RATE VS. FED TARGET RATE
18. IF CHINA “REBALANCES” ITS RESERVES
19. MOVES SLOWLY ON EXCHANGE RATES
20. CHINESE OIL PRODUCTION AND DEMAND <BARRELS PER DAY (M)>
21. CHINA ACQUIRING FINANCIAL ASSETS
22. CHINESE CARS COMING TO U.S. SOON
23. CHINA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PERSPECTIVE
24. TECH SALES TO CHINA QUESTIONED
25. CHINESE ROCKET SCIENCE
26. MILITARY GROWS IN CAPABILITIES
27. CHINA VS U.S IN CYBER WAR
28. WORLD’S LARGEST ECONOMIES 2050
29. “INTERNATIONAL INVESTOR” ASKS: WHAT IF U.S POLICY REVERSED?
#1416 U.S. HOUSING RECESSION
GUESTS: ELIZABETH HALAKI, OCE’ BUSINESS SERVICE, ROBERT SHERRETTA, PRESIDENT, INTERNATIONAL INVESTOR
SLIDES:
1. SUBPRIME MORTGAGES JUST BEGINNING TO FALL
2. THE DEFAULT RATE ON SUBPRIME LOANS
3. U.S BANK HOOKED ON TRADING
4. THE INFAMOUS “S.I.V”
5. DEPRIVATIVES MARKETS EXPLODE!
6. BOND INSURERS AGAINST THE WALL
7. JAPAN’S 1990 CRISIS ECHO’S TO 2008
8. KEY QUESTION ABOUT THE ECONOMY 2008
9. NEW CLAIMS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS FIRST MONTH OF RECESSION VS. JANUARY 2008
10. EMPLOYMENT RECESSION PROBABILITY INDEX
11. NEW ORDERS FOR DURABLE GOODS
12. COUNTRY’S ECONOMY MONTHS FROM NOW?
13. CONCLUSION- AS OF EARLY FEBRUARY
14. HOUSE APPRECIATION FALLING FAST
15. UNITED STATES
16. SUBPRIME DELINQUENCIES AND FORECLOSURES
17. U.S. HOUSING DOWNTURNS AND RECESSIONS
18. OVERALL CONSUMERS SPENDING RESULTS
19. U.S. ECONOMICS INDICATORS
20. THE BIG “CHILL”
21. SUBPRIME BANK LOSSES
22. EUROPE
23. HOUSING VALUATION RATIOS
24. CONSTRUCTION INVESTMENT
25. GLOBAL CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES
26. SOME SIGNS OF STRESS IN SOME EMERGING MARKETS
27. U.S. IMPORT ORDERS FROM CHINA SLOWING
28. CHINESE SCIENTIST IMPLICATED IN CORPORATE ESPIONAGE
29. CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES
30. WORLDWIDE FDI TO SLOW
31. WEAKER BUT STILL ROBUST PROSPECT
32. CREDIT CRISIS SPREADS TO GLOBAL ECONOMY
33. INFLATION EXPECTATIONS
34. U.S DOLLARS VS THE EUROS
35. U.S DOLLARS PER NATIONAL CURRENCY
36. INFLATION
37. MANUFACTURING VALUE ADDED PER CAPITAL
38. S&P SEES MEXICO’S STEADY OUTLOOK FOR 2008
39. DOW VS SHANGHAI 12 YEARS
40. SHANGHAI “A” SHARES LAST SIX MONTHS
41. RUSSIA RSF INDEX VS DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS
42. SPREADING FORM INSURERS TO BONDS
43. MORTGAGE AND BANKING CRISIS
44. 2008: MORE BAD NEWS TO COME
45. FED PROPOSES RESTRICTIONS ON EXOTIC MORTGAGE
#1415 SOUTHEAST ASIA’S DEVELOPMENT AND RISK
GUEST: TIM HUXLEY, IISS- ASIA, NGO VAN THOAN, EMBASSY OF VIETNAM
SLIDES:
1. ECONOMY OF THAILAND
2. ECONOMY OF THAILAND 2, TRADE PARTNERS
3. TRADE TARIFFS THREATENED
4. GOVERNMENT CONTROL OF ECONOMY
5. ECONOMY OF MYANMAR
6. ECONOMY OF MYANMAR 2, TRADE
7. ECONOMY OF INDONESIA
8. ECONOMY OF INDONESIA 2
9. ECONOMY OF SINGAPORE
10. ECONOMY OF PHILIPPINES
11. VIETNAM- COMPARED TO GLOBAL BEST
12. ECONOMY OF MALAYSIA
13. TOTAL GDP 2006
14. VIETNAM GDP GROWTH RATE
15. EXPORT & IMPORT OF GOODS
16. GDP STRUCTURE
17. VIETNAM-U.S. BILATERAL TRADE
18. VIETNAM EXPORTS TO THE U.S.
19. MAJOR EXPORT MARKET
20. VIETNAM IMPORTS FROM THE U.S.
21. OBSTACLES TO TRADE
22. IMPORTANT ROLE OF U.S. INDIRECT INVESTMENT
23. U.S. DIRECT INVESTMENT IN VIETNAM
24. U.S. CURRENT REGISTERED FDI IN VIETNAM
25. U.S. IMPLEMENTED FDI IN VIETNAM
26. POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT FOR THE STOCK MARKET
27. PROTECTING INVESTORS-GLOBAL RANK
# 1414 CORRUPTIONS, FRAUD AND CORPORATE GOVERNANCE AROUND THE WORLD AND IN THE U.S.
GUEST: Mike Lubrano, CORPORATE GOVERNANCE, INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATION
SLIDES:
1. THE COST OF CORRUPTION
2. GLOBAL FIGHT AGAINST CORRUPTION
3. CORRUPTION 2007: GLOBAL PROBLEM
4. WORST MARKETS IN TERMS OF CORPORATE GOVERNANCE ON A SCALE OF (0 – 10)
5. “EMPE7” EMERGED PRIVATE EQUITY MARKETS
6. WAR SPENDING ON IRAQ NOW REACHING CRITICAL JUNCTURE
7. U.N.’S “OIL FOR FOOD” FRAUD… LEADS BACK TO THE U.S.
8. “PRIVATE CAPITAL” TAKES SEVERAL FORMS
9. THE INFAMOUS “S.I.V.”
10. HEDGE FUND EXPLOSION
11. U.S. MAJOR STOCK INDEXES – 7Yrs.
12. “SEE NO EVIL” DISCLOSURE RULES
13. DISPUTE OVER HEDGE FUNDS
14. S.E.C. AND SUPREME COURT VS. SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS
15. U.S. BANKS HOOKED ON TRADING
16. INSURING AGAINST LOSSES PROVES ELUSIVE FOR INSURANCE INDUSTRY
17. TOO MANY HEDGE FUNDS & RISK?
18. DERIVATIVES MARKETS EXPLODE!
19. JAPAN’S 1990 CRISIS ECHO’S TO 2008
20. CURRENT OVERSIGHT OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS INADEQUATE FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
21. FED PROPOSES RESTRICTIONS ON EXOTIC MORTGAGE
22. WALL STREET BONUSES REWARD RISK AND FAILURE
#1413 REGULATORY GOVERNANCE
GUEST: ERICK LANGER, GEORGE TOWN UNIVERSITY
SLIDES:
1. THE COST OF CORRUPTION
2. GLOBAL FIGHT AGAINST CORRUPTION
3. CORRUPTION 2007: GLOBAL PROBLEM
4. U.N.’S “OIL FOR FOOD” FRAUD… LEADS BACK TO THE U.S.
5. “PRIVATE CAPITALS” TAKES SEVERAL FORMS
6. THE INFAMOUS “S.I.V”
7. HEDGE FUND EXPLOSION
8. U.S. MAJORS STOCK INDEXES- 7 YEARS
9. “SEE NO EVIL” DISCLOSURES RULES
10. DISPUTE OVER HEDGE FUNDS
11. S.E.C AND SUPREME COURT VS. SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS
12. U.S. BANKS HOOKED ON TRADING
13. INSURING AGAINST LOSSES PROVES EXCLUSIVES FOR INSURANCE INDUSTRY
14. JAPAN’S 1990 CRISIS ECHO’S TO 2008
15. HEDGE FUND EXPLOSION 2
16. DERIVATIVES MARKETS EXPLODE
17. WORST MARKET IN TERMS OF CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
18. CURRENT OVERSIGHT OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS INADEQUATE FOR THE 21TH CENTURY
19. FED PROPOSES RESTRICTIONS ON EXOTIC MORTGAGES
20. WALL STREET BONUSES REWARD RISK AND FAILURE
# 1412 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND: HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK.
PART V: FINANCING OUR NATION’S FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE
GUESTS: Mary Sue Barrett, President, METROPOLITAN PLANNING COUNCIL, CHICAGO; George Bilicic, Managing Director, GLOBAL POWER & UTILITY GROUP, LAZARD.
1. U.S. POPULATION SOARS UPWARD, PRESSURING EDUCATION, HEALTHCARE, TRAFFIC AND UTILITY INFRASTRUCTURE
2. WAR AND DEFENSE COSTS DRAIN DISCRETIONARY BUDGET FROM CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
3. POPULATION VS. INFRASTRUCTURE SPE DING
4. FUNDS FOR TRANSIT CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
5. BUSH ADMINISTRATION SKIMPS ON RAIL TRANSIT FUNDING
6. FREIGHT FLOWS BY RAIL: 1998 TONS
7. BRIDGES TUMBLING DOWN
8. J.S. SLIPPING BEHIND ON INWARD INVESTMENT, ATTRACTIVENESS
9. U.S. RAIL SYSTEM IS TWO CENTURIES OLD
10. 2005 ENERGY BILL WON’T BRING RELIEF
11. 2005 “HIGHWAYS BILL” TO PUT MORE AMERICANS ON THE ROAD
12. QUALITY INFRASTRUCTURE: KEY TO ECONOMIC GROWTH
13. ASIA JUMPS ABOARD HIGH-SPEED LINE
14. RAIL PROJECTS AND BUILDERS FIND WORK OVERSEAS
15. INFRASTRUCTURE: CRITICAL TO LIFE QUALITY AND INCOME EQUALITY
16. TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE DEALS PUBLIC/PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS
17. USE OF PRIVATE CAPITAL TO BUILD INFRASTRUCTURE RAISES SECURITY, SAFETY CONCERNS
18. SHARE OF FIRMS THAT CONSIDER INFRASTRUCTURE TO BE A SERIOUS OBSTACLE TO DOING BUSINESS
19. RELIANCE ON INTERNAL FUNDS FOR FINANCING NEW INVESTMENTS
20. U.S. LOSES LEAD IN MAJOR MARKET CAPITALIZATION
21. RUSSIA’S LOCOMOTIVE OF INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
22. NATIONS CAPITAL: INFRASTRUCTURE DISPAIR
23. MAXIMUM ECONOMIC INVESTMENT FOR HIGHWAYS AND BRIDGES DISTRIBUTION BY IMPROVEMENT TYPE
24. CHINA ROCKETS INTO INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING
25. MODERN, HIGH-SPEED TRAINS IN EUROPE OUT COMPETE AIR TRAVEL
26. AMERICA’S ELECTRICAL GRID: SHORTING OUT WITH NO BACK-UP GENERATORS
27. STRATEGIC “REFIND” RESERVE (SRR)
28. KATRINA DAMAGE = 100X COST OR NEW LEVEES
29. INTERNATIONAL INVESTOR’S ANSWER: PENSION CAPITAL!
# 1411 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND: HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK.
PART IV: POPULATION: IMMIGRATION AND BIRTHRATES IMPACT ON TRANSPORTATION, HEALTHCARE, EDUCATION, HOUSING, AND FINANCING.
GUESTS: William P.Butz, President & CEO, POPULATION BEFERENCE BUREAU; Dean Baker, Co-Director, CENTER FOR ECONOMIC & POLICY RESEARCH
SLIDES:
1. GLOBAL ESTIMATED EXPENDITURE NEEDS IN INFRASTRUCTURE
2. CENSUS BUREAU POPULATION PROJECTION THIS CENTURY
3. GLOBAL POPULATION GROWTH IS DRIVEN BY DEVELOPING COUNTRIES.
4. WORLD FOOD DEMAND AND PRICES RISING FAST
5. U.S: THIRD LARGEST POPULATION
6. MALI, UGANDA, NIGER (1950-2050)
7. IN MANY DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, FERTILITY RATES ARE STABILIZING AFTER YEARS OF DECLINE
8. AN IMPORTANT GLOBAL ISSUE IS THE “DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDE” – THE VAST GULF IN BIRTH AND DEATH RATES AMONG COUNTRIES.
9. POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU
10. LAND AREA
11. HISPANIC WOMEN HAVE THE HIGHEST FERTILITY AMONG MAJOR U.S RACIAL AND ETHNIC GROUP.
12. FOREIGN-BORN RESIDENTS OF THE U.S MAKE UP A SMALLER SHARE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION THAN IN 1910, BUT THEIR NUMBERS HAVE NEVER BEEN HIGHER.
13. PERCENT MINORITY IN U.S, BY AGE GROUP, 1980-2030
14. ALTHOUGH THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF PEOPLE PER U.S. HOUSEHOLD FELL BETWEEN 1969 AND 2001, THE NUMBER OF VEHICLES PER HOUSEHOLD ROSE.
15. THE AMOUNT OF TRASH STILL EXCEEDS THE AMOUNT RECYCLED AND COMPOSED
16. AMERICA’S ETHNIC & AGE DIVIDE
17. IN A MARKET ECONOMY, PRICES ADJUST TO SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR GOODS, SERVICES AND LABOR
18. FEWER PEOPLE MAY MEAN HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY AND QUALITY OF LIFE
19. U.S. LABOR FORCE VS MEXICO’S WORKING AGE POPULATION
20. PERCENTAGE OF PEOPLE IN POVERTY, 1969 TO 1999
# 1410 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND: HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK.
PART III: EDUCATION AND RESEARCH
GUESTS: John Kao, Author “INNOVATION NATION”; Barbara Ischinger, OECD Director, DIRECTORATE FOR EDUCATION; Marya Levintova, PhD, NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH; Rear Admiral Mike Rstliff, USN (Ret.), INTERCOLLEGIATE STUDIES INSTITUTE
SLIDES:
1. INNOVATION NATION
2. PROPORTION OF R&D INVESTMENT COMING FROM BUSINESS (%)
3. U.S. SLIPPING FAST IN EDUCATION, R&D
4. EXPENDITURE ON EDUCATIONAL CORE SERVICES, R&D AND ANCILLARY SERVICES IN HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP (2004)
5. CHINA SURGING AHEAD IN EDUCATION
6. MISPLACED AWARDS AND HONORS?
7. HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATION RATES (1995, 2005)
8. GROWTH IN HIGHER EDUCATION QUALIFICATIONS
9. HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATION RATES (1995, 2000, 2005)
10. NUMBER OF HIGHER EDUCATION SCIENCE GRADUATES PER 100,000 EMPLOYED 25-TO-34-YEAR-OLDS (2005)
11. GROWTH IN BASELINE QUALIFICATIONS A WORLD OF CHANGE
12. AVERAGE ANNUAL TUITION FEES
13. WHAT DO YOU CALL PARENTS WHO SAVED $40,000 IN THEIR CHILD’S NAMES FOR COLLEGE?
14. WHAT HAS CHANGED SINCE TODAY’S COLLEGE FRESHMAN WAS BORN?
15. FUTURE COLLEGE COSTS VS INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS
16. WHAT ARE THE CURRENT THREATS TO COLLEGE FUNDING?
17. WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FUNDING A PRIVATE EDUCATION NEAR THE OCEAN AND BUYING A DREAM HOME NEAR THE OCEAN?
18. STUDENT READINESS, QUALITY???
19. POLICES FAVOR ACCESS OVER READINESS OR SUCCESS
20. CHARGES IN THE NUMBER OF HIGHER EDUCATION STUDENTS AS WELL AS CHANGES IN EXPENDITURE ON HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS PER STUDENT, BY LEVEL OF EDUCATION (1995, 2004)
# 1409 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND: HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK
PART II: BROADBAND/INTERNET/TELECOM COMMUNICATION
FROM A CONFERENCE SPONSORED BY THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND AND ROBERT H. SMITH SCHOOL OF BUSINESS
GUESTS: Robert D. Atkison, President, IT AND INNOVATION FOUNDATION; Satish Nambisan, Author, The Global Brain: Your Roadmap for Innovating Faster; Larry Clinton, President, INTERNET SECURITY ALLIANCE
SLIDES:
1. U.S. BROADBAND AND HIGH TECH STATE IS THIRD CLASS
2. U.S. RANKING AMONG OECD COUNTRIES IN BROADBAND PENETRATION
3. ITIF BROADBAND RANKINGS
4. PENETRATION: (PER HOUSEHOLD VS. PER CAPITA)
5. EU BROADBAND PENETRATION RATE - JULY 2007
6. (PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLDS)
7. DCT INVESTMENTS AS A PERCENTAGE OF GOP
8. GROWTH OF INTERNET IN CHINA
9. DCT INVESTMENTS AS A PERCENTAGE OF GOP
10. PENETRATION VS. “URBANICITY”
11. PREDEFINED DCT IMPACT ON EUROPEAN BUSINESSES
12. THE GLOBAL BRAIN
13. WEB USAGE
14. INTERNET COMMERCE
15. MOBILE PHONES FOR ½ A WORLD
16. MOBILE COMMERCE
17. CHINA VS U.S. IN CYBER WAR
18. SOFTWARE PIRACY LOSSES = $200 BILLION IN FIVE YEARS
19. CURRENT STATES ON CORPORATE SECURITY
20. CHOICE POINT HIT BY FRAUD RING
21. U.S COMPANIES FALL PREY
22. FOREIGN CYBER GANGS
23. U.S. DATE BREACHES (TYPICAL 2 MONTH PERIOD)
24. CORPORATIONS UNDER ATTACK
25. THE GREAT “FIRE” WALL OF CHINA
# 1408 AMERICA SLIPPING BEHIND: HOW OUR FAILURE TO INVEST IN OUR INFRASTRUCTURE, GUARANTEES OUR FALL IN WORLD RANK:
PART I: TRANSPORTATION AND UTILITIES
WASHINGTON’S INFRASTRUCTURE BUDGET CRISIS
GUESTS: Sherle Schwenninge, New America Foundation; Tyler D. Duvall, Assistant Secretary, U.S Dept. Transportation
SLIDES:
1. FED BUDGET: HIGHWAYS VS. WAR
2. PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL URBAN-AREA TRAVEL IN CONGESTED CONDITIONS
3. QUALITY INFRASTRUCTURE: KEY TO ECONOMIC GROWTH
4. INADEQUATE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT EQUALS POOR GROWTH PROSPECTS
5. FREIGHT FLOWS BY WATER: 1998 (TONS)
6. AIRPORT CONGESTION TO GET WORSE
7. U.S. RAIL SYSTEM IS TWO CENTURIES OLD
8. TRANSIT AVERAGE ANNUAL INVESTMENT
9. FUNDS FOR TRANSIT CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
10. TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE DEALS PUBLIC/ PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS ($BILLIONS)
11. FEDERAL SPENDING PRIORITIES ($BILLIONS)
12. FREIGHT FLOWS BY TRUCK: 1998 (DAILY TRUCK VOLUMES)
13. FREIGHT FLOWS BY TRUCK: 2020 (DAILY TRUCK VOLUMES)
14. MAXIMUM ECONOMIC INVESTMENT FOR HIGHWAYS AND BRIDGES DISTRIBUTION BY IMPROVEMENT TYPE
15. PASSENGER RAIL SERVICE: THE TRANSPORTATION ANSWER?
16. NATIONS CAPITAL: INFRASTRUCTURE DISPAIR
17. IF MAINTENANCE ON A 20 YEAR ROAD IS NOT DONE BY THE END OF THE 12TH YEAR, IT STARTS TO DETERIORATE EIGHT TIMES FASTER THAN IN THE EARLY YEARS
18. MAINTENANCE COSTS: OR RUST NEVER SLEEPS
19. TRANSPORTATION BUDGET SHORTFALL
20. TO IMPROVE THE CONDITIONS OF TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
21. U.S. HIGHWAY FUND GOING BROKE
22. A COMPARISON OF 2004 CAPITAL SPENDING WITH AVERAGE ANNUAL INVESTMENT SCENARIO ESTIMATES (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS)
23. U.S. FEDERAL HIGHWAY TRUST FUND
24. TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS STILL STRUGGLE FOR FUNDING
25. BUSH ADMINISTRATION SKIMPS ON RAIL TRANSIT FUNDING
# 1407 THE CASE AGAINST WAR WITH IRAN
THE NUCLEAR PROBLEM WITH IRAN
THE CASE FOR WAR WITH IRAN
CONCLUSION: AGAINST WAR WITH IRAN
GUESTS: Gary Samore, Vice President, COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS; Bernard Kouchner, MINISTER, Foreign Affairs, FRANCE; Thomas Mclnerney, Lt. General, AIR FORCE, (Ret.); Carl Levin, SENATOR, D-MI
SLIDES:
1. WAR SPENDING ON IRAQ NOW REACHING CRITICAL JUNCTURE
2. ALTERNATIVE USES OF U.S. TREASURY
3. IRAN’S PRESIDENT: NOT TO BE TRUSTED
4. DOUBLE STANDARDS?
5. ISRAEL MAY TAKE UNILATERAL ACTION
6. IRAN’S TORTURED HISTORY WITH THE WEST
7. TOUGH NUCLEAR NEIGHBORHOOD
8. IRAQIS CLAIMS FRIENDSHIP WITH IRAN
9. ECONOMIC SANCTIONS
10. CALLS FOR WAR AGAINST IRAN
11. COST OF WARS
12. IRAQI RECONSTRUCTION BUDGET BOOM
13. COVER ACTIONS AGAINST IRAN
14. THINGS ARE HEATING UP
15. IRAQ’S WEAPONS: MANY SOURCE
16. FIGHTER JET TRAILS: FROM THE U.S., TO ISRAEL, TO CHINA, TO IRAN…
17. IRAN’S “CONTROL” OVER HORMUZ
18. WARNINGS FROM THE U.S.
19. POLITICAL SYMPATHIES
20. RELIGIOUS FREEDOM
21. WOMEN’S RIGHTS
22. “WINNERS” IN IRAN WAR SCENARIOS
23. U.S. GOVT. POLICY TOWARD ARAB NATIONS
24. AMERICAN FREEDOM AND DEMOCRACY
25. CONFLICT AREAS HAVE MOST “UNFAVORABLE” OPINION OF U.S.
26. INFLUENCE IN THE WORLD
27. THE NUCLEAR CLUB
# 1306 ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING VI
ARE THE EFFORTS SUFFICIENT?
CAN THEY STOP TERRORISTS FROM MOVING MONEY?
ARE THEY AN INVASION OF AMERICAN’S EXPECTATION OF FINANCIAL PRIVACY?
GUESTS: Simon J. Pak, Associate Professor of Finance, Pennsylvania State University; Thomas Biersteken, Graduate Institute of International Study; Matthew Levitt, Washington Institute for Nast Policy; Daniel Glaser, Deputy Asst. Secretary
Terrorist Financing/Crimes, U.S. TREASURY
SLIDES:
1. MONEY LAUNDERING IS BIG
2. ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING
3. Chart 1 . Capital outflows from Switzerland ($)
4. 1996-2005 NIGERIA’S CAPITAL OUT FLOW TO THE U.S.
5. CAPITAL OUTFLOW FROM NIGERIA TO THE U.S HAVE: (I) TRIPPED; ii) BEEN PRIMARILY THROUGH HIGH PRICED IMPORTS SINCE 1996.
6. ANNUAL CAPITAL OUTFLOWS ($) FROM AFRICA TO THE U.S. 1996-2005
7. MONEY MOVEMENT BETWEEN THE U.S. AND THE WORLD THROUGH TRADE MISINVOICING
8. PATRIOT ACT BROADENS
9. U.S MUSLIM GROUPS CLEARED
10. WORLD BANK / UN ASSENT RECOVERY ARM
11. “BAD BOY” LIST
12. CHARITIES CONTEST NEW RULES
13. “DIRTY MONEY” GRAVITATES TO WESTERN NATIONS
14. U.S. TAX EVASION LOSSES SRE SUBSTANTIAL
15. TAX SCHEMES WIDESPREAD
16. ACCESS TO INTERNET, CABLE TV, CELL PHONE RECORDS
17. MEXICAN DRUG LORD GETS LIFE SENTENCE
18. PATRIOT ACT GETS TOUGH
19. PATRIOT ACT BROADENS
20. AMERIDEBT TRANSFERRED MONEY TO OFFSHORE TRUSTS
21. “HAWALADARS” OPERATE UNOFFICIAL MONEY CIRCLES
22. TAX SHELTER PROMOTERS FORCED TO FOLLOW RULES
23. WESTERN DEMOCRACIES JOIN IN
24. INTERNATIONAL WIRE TRANSFERS SIFTED BY THE C.I.A.
25. GOVERNMENT ACCESS TO FINANCIAL RECORDS
26. TREASURY CONCERNED ABOUT SAUDI ARABIA TERROR FINANCING
# 1305 ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING V
Are the Efforts Sufficient?
Can It Stop Terrorists From Moving Money?
Is It An Invasion of American’s Expectation of Financial Privacy?
GUESTS: Raymond W. Baker, Director, Global Financial Integrity; Jack Blum, BAKER HOSTETLER; John Christensen, TAX JUSTICE NETWORK; The Lord Brennan, HOUSE OF LORDS, (U.K.); Raymond W. Baker, Director, Global Financial Integrity; Robert M. Kimmitt, Deputy Secretary of the Treasury
SLIDES:
1. MONEY LAUNDERING IS BIG
2. UNSER THEIR NOSE…
3. BANK EXAMINER LEFT TREASURY TO JOIN RIGGS!
4. RIGGS AND SAUDI CONNECTION
5. BANK HANDLE SMUGGLED GOLD
6. U.S. TAX EVASION LOSSES ARE SUBSTANTIAL
7. CORPORATE HAVENS UNDER OUR NOSE
8. INTERNATIONAL WIRE TRANSFERS SIFTED BY THE C.I.A.
9. TREASURY CONCERNED ABOUT SAUDI ARABIA TERROR FINANCING
10. “HAWALADARS” OPERATE UNOFFICIAL MONEY CIRCLES
11. TOP OFFICIALS BOOKED ON MONEY LAUNDERING, CONSPIRACY CHARGES
12. THREE OIL FIRMS INVESTIGATED RELATED TO RIGGS BANK
13. CAYMAN ISLED STILL LEAD IN CORPORATE ADDRESS GAME
14. TAX SCHEMES WIDESPREAD
15. WORLD’S BANKERS STILL DOUBT ANTI-MONEY LAUNDERING EFFORT
16. MONEY CENTERS HERS, THERE AND EVERYWHERE
17. “BAD BOY” LIST
18. LONDON TURNING INTO A HAVEN FOR MONEY-LAUNDERING
19. MORE DIRTY BANKS
20. “DIRTY MONEY” GRAVITATES TO WESTERN NATIONS
21. CORPORATE FIANCÉ STILL FIND THE CARIBBEAN WARN AND INVITING
22. TAX SHELTER PROMOTERS FORCED TO FOLLOW RULES
23. HEDGE FUND INVESTORS FACING BIG BACK TAX
24. OFFSHORE BANKING
25. MEXICAN DRUG LORD GETS LIFE SENTENCE
26. WORLD BANK / UN ASSET RECOVERY ARM
27. ILLICIT FINANCIAL OUTFLOWS COMPARED TO FOREIGN INFLOWS
28. GLOBAL GDP AND GLOBAL QUINTILE INCOME DISPARITY, 2004
29. DRUG CARTELS “LAUNDERING” CASH IN CHINA
30. ILLICIT LATIN MONEY FLOWS ARE ENORMOUS
31. PATRIOT ACT GETS TOUGH
32. PATRIOT ACT BROADENS
33. GOVERNMENT ACCESS TO FINANCIAL RECORDS
GUESTS: Thomas Pickering (Frmr. Chair.), Sr. Advisor, BOEING; Cathy Campbell, President, U.S Civilian Research/Development Foundation
SLIDES:
1. BOEING’S BUSINESS LINES AND PROFILE
2. BOEING’S ANNUAL REVENUES
3. TOP 10 WORLD-WIDE DEFENSE CONTRACTORS 2007
4. US-RUSSIA COLLABORATION: SPACE STATION
5. INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION; ISS
6. BOEING WINS ROCKET CONTRACT
7. HIGHER EDUCATION AND TECHNOLOGY
8. MARKET VALUE OF AIR TRAFFIC (By Region)
9. AIR TRAFFIC CAPACITY GROWTH WITHIN REGIONS: (Average Annual Growth Rates)
10. ARCTIC EXPEDITION DEMONSTRATES
11. RUSSIA’S TECHNOLOGY/EXPERIENCE
12. OTHER NATIONS MAKE CLAIMS ON ARCTIC EXPLORATION
# 1303 RUSSIAN HEALTH CARE:
PART III: FROM THE WORLD RUSSIAN FORUM: U.S. CONGRESS
GUESTS: Alexandra Vacroux, Research Scholar; Kennan Institute, WOODROW WILSON CENTER; Marya Levintova, Ph.D., Fogarty International Center, NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH; Tatyana Klimova, NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH; Marshall Ferrin, CEO, GRAVITONUS
SLIDES:
1. NUMBER OF HOSPITAL BEDS
2. NUMBER OF MEDIUM-LEVEL MEDICAL PERSONAL
3. TO POPULATION IN THOUSANDS
4. RUSSIAN FEDERATION
5. NUMBER OF RUSSIAN PHYSICIANS
6. PUBLIC HEALTH COSTS
7. CAPACITY OF POLYCLINICS (NUMBER OF PATIENTS’ VISIT PER SHIFT)
8. GROWTH IN NUMBER OF RUSSIAN PHARMACIES
9. RUSSIAN FEDERATION
10. LIFE EXPECTANCY IN RUSSIA
11. THE PROPORTION OF POPULATION AGED 65+
# 1302 RUSSIA’S HOUSING AND CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY:
PART II: The 2007 WORLD RUSSIAN FORUM From Inside the UNITED STATES CAPITOL Washington, D.C. INVESTING IN RUSSIA: CONSTRUCTION/REAL ESTATE, LAW
GUESTS: Andrei Dolgorukov – Trade Representative of Russia; Jerry Howard, CEO – National Association of Homebuilders; William Robinson, Attorney – Expert on US and Russian Law
SLIDES:
1. GROWTH IN CAPITAL MARKETS
2. RUSSIAN VS. U.S STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE
3. NYSE LAUNCHES RUSSIAN ETF
4. RETAILERS MOVING INTO RUSSIA
5. RUSSIA REAL GDP %
6. RUSSIAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION %
7. RUSSIAN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
8. RUSSIAN CONSUMER SPENDING SOARS
9. PRIME OFFICE RENTS AS AT DEC 2006
10. RUSSIAN INFLATION RATE
11. RUSSIAN INTEREST RATE
12. RUSSIAN HOME OWNERSHIP AND CONSUMER GOODS PENETRATION:
13. RUSSIAN REAL ESTATE HEATS UP
14. RUSSIAN SCORES POORLY ON CORRUPTION SCALE
15. GM DRIVERS TOWARD SUCCESS IN RUSSIA, OVER BUMPY ROADS
16. RUSSIA’S RAPID IMPROVING ENERGY EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGY
# 1301 RUSSIA’S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
PART I: The 2007 WORLD RUSSIAN FORUM From Inside the UNITED STATES SENATE Washington, D.C. INVESTING IN RUSSIA: ECONOMY/FINANCIAL MARKETS
GUESTS: Peter Kolle, Sr. Advisor - UNICREDIT, CEE Division; Roger Munnings - KPMG Russia; Alexey Portansky – Information Office RUSSIA WTO
SLIDES:
1. GDP GROWTH RUSSIA
2. CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
3. FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
4. CONSUMER CREDIT GROWTH
5. FINANCIAL EMIRS SMELL THE MONEY
6. RUSSIAN SCORES POORLY ON CORRUPTION SCALE
7. ACCREDIT BUYS HVB OF GERMANY, LOOKING FOR OTHERS
8. U.S. DOLLAR VS. RUSSIAN RUBLE
9. NO WONDER THEY LIKE PUTIN
10. DISASTER DURING YELTSIN YEARS
11. NEW PIPELINE ROUTE
12. CAPITAL INVESTMENTS (As % OF PREVIOUS YEAR)
13. RUSSIAN RATE OF INVESTMENT
14. GROWTH IN CAPITAL MARKET
15. RUSSIAN M&A BANKING VOLUMES
16. TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT
17. INDEBTEDNESS TURN-AROUND
# 1300 “REAL” REAL ESTATE MARKETS
GUEST: SIGRID ZIALCITA, CUSHMAN&
WAKEFIELD
SLIDES:
1. PENDING HOME SALES
2. EXISTING CONDO & CO-OP SALES
3. ONE IN TWENTY MORTGAGES NOW HAVING PROBLEMS KEEPING UP
4. EXISTING HOME SALES
5. GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT
6. SHARE OF WASHINGTON REGIONAL ECONOMY
7. EXISTING HOME SALES
8. HOUSING EQUITY GAINS IN WASHINGTON, DC
9. CONGRESS TO THE RESCUE?
10. POPULATION
11. GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT
12. STRONG OFFICE MARKET ACROSS NATION
13. EASY MONEY FOR FINANCING
14. VACATION HOMES STRONG IN 2006
15. WHY THE HOUSING BOOM CONTINUES IN FLORIDA
16. SUB-PRIME/FORECLOSURES SOAR
17. CREDIT PROBLEMS MUCH LARGER THAN THE REAL ESTATE MARKET
18. DEMAND & SUPPLY
19. METRO WASHINGTON EMPLOYMENT
20. WORLD'S MOST EXPENSIVE CITIES
21. AFRICA & THE MIDDLE EAST
22. TOP TEN MOST EXPENSIVE LOCATION
23. FOREIGNERS BUYING AGGRESSIVELY
24. AVERAGE 30 YEAR FIXED RATE
25. NET WEALTH DIFFERENCE
26.
DEMAND SUPPORT
#1211 U.S. TRADE POLICY WITH CHINA
GUEST: Alan Holmer, Special Envoy For China, U.S. Department of Treasury
SLIDES:
1. GDP GROWTH
2. GDP FORECAST
3. WORLD’S LARGEST ECONOMIES 2050
4. U.S. TRADE DEFICIT
5. TRADE DEFICIT BY NATION
6. FX HOLDINGS
7. CHINA’S NATURAL RESOURCE DEMAND
8. OIL DEMAND
9. OIL SUPPLY
10. TYPES OF PETROLEUM NEEDED
11. SOYBEAN BAN
12. TEXTILE IMPORTS
13. DOUBT OVER CHINA’S OPEN MARKET
14. DECLINING QUALITY OF GOVERNANCE
15. UNFAIR AUTOMOTIVE TARIFFS
16. CORPORATE GOVERNANCE NIGHTMARE
17. INVESTMENT FRAUD
18. SCANDAL LIST 1
19. SCANDAL LIST 2
20. PENSION MONEY STOLEN
21. ECONOMIC CRIME FUGITIVES
22. GAP BETWEEN RICH AND POOR
23. ACQUISITION OF AERONAUTICS TECHNOLOGY
24. COMPUTER MANUFACTURING DOMINANCE
25. HIGH VALUE TRADE GROWS
26. RAILROAD TECHNOLOGY
27. BANKING SECTOR BY HOUSEHOLDS
28. DEBT TO GDP
29. BANK SECTOR DEBT
30. SOFTWARE PIRACY
31. FOOD/PRODUCT SAFETY ISSUES
32. TAINTED IMPORTS FROM CHINA
33. INVASIVE SPECIES AND DISEASE
34. SURPRISING THEIR CURRENCY
35. MIDDLE CLASS GROWTH
36. EDUCATION ADVANCES
37. GROWTH IN HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
38. CHINA LOBBIES WASHINGTON
39. CHINA FDA HEAD EXECUTED
40. CHINA/U.S. FINANCIAL CO-DEPENDENCE
41. FDI KEEPS COMING
#1210 GLOBAL ECONOMIC/MARKET RISKS: WILL THE SKY FALL?
Reflections on Growing Trade and Current Account Imbalances, Private Equity, Hedge Funds and Derivative Markets
: Fred Bergsten, Director of the PETERSON INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, Daniel Yergin, Chairman Cambridge Energy Research ASSOCIATES, Clyde Prestowitz, President, Economic Strategy Institute, David Rubenstein, Founder, THE CARLYLE GROUP
slides:
1. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS STOCK AVERAGE INDEX: ONE YEAR
2. SIGNS OF ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN: HOUSING, AUTOS, EMPLOYMENT
3. U.S. GDP
4. EMPLOYMENT DATA
5. GLOBAL GROWTH INDICATORS
6. U.S. TRADE DEFICIT TOTAL
7. U.S. TRADE DEFICIT BY NATION
8. FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS
9. U.S. TREASURY SALES TO FOREIGNERS
10. U.S. SLIPPING ON WORLD STAGE? GROWTH COMPARISONS
11. GDP COMPARISONS
12. COMPARING U.S. ECONOMY TO EUROPE
13. DOLLAR VERSUS EURO
14. FX HOLDINGS BY FOREIGNERS
15. FOREIGN CAPITAL LESS INTERESTED IN U.S.?
16. FALLING DOLLAR—TEMPORARY PROP TO U.S. EXPORTERS/ECONOMY—LONG TERM INFLATION
17. FACTORS FLOATING THE U.S. ECONOMY/STOCK MARKET
18. MERGER AND acquisition ACTIVITY
19. S&P 500 DIVIDEND MEASURES
20. DOWNSIDE OF P.E. RATIOS
21. DERIVATIVE GROWTH REACHES ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS
22. DERIVATIVE RISK MEASURED AGAINST BANK EQUITY
23. TOO MANY HEDGE FUNDS? FAILURE RATE
24. U.S. DEBTOR NATION: TOPS IN WORLD
25. GROSS FEDERAL DEBT
26. RED INK SPREADS OVER ECONOMY
27. FEDERAL DEBT LOAD: LONG TERM OBLIGATIONS
28. WORLD LEADING ECONOMIES 2050
29. S&P PROJECTED RATINGS OF U.S. TREASURIES
30. TOP SUPPLIERS OF OIL
31. TOP SUPPLIERS OF REFINED PRODUCT
32. STRATEGIC PETROLEUM: STRATEGIC “REFINED” RESERVE?
33. GROWTH OF U.S. BUYOUT AND VENTURE CAPITAL FUNDS
34. EMERGING PRIVATE EQUITY MARKETS
#1209 Iraq reconstruction or ali baba and the forty thieves: Where will The money go?
Slides:
1. Private contractors in Iraq may outnumber the military
2. Total costs of spending on Iraq
3. Federal contract spending soars under Bush administration
Title: Private sector contractors
Guest: Peter Singer, Author, “ Corporate Warriors”, Brookings Institution
The slide of the book picture.
Slides:
1. Iraq-funded contracts
2. Military’s use of private sector booming
3. The big revolving door
4. Money runs Iraq reconstruction
5. Bribery for Iraq contracts
U.S. government: Can it track it’s money?
Guest: Frank Lavin, United States under secretary of commerce for international trade
Slides:
1. “Fuzzy” gaps between Iraq’s building funds & spending
2. Reconstruction of Iraq civilization still below pre-war levels
3. Iraq’s new “oil law” pens the door for foreign oil companies
4. Iraq’ oil production slump
5. Attacks cripple oil output
6. Cost of wars
7. Iraqi reconstruction budget boom
8. Why aren’t we getting “on the ground” reports from Iraq?
9. Throwing cash to win hearts
10. Iraq’s merchandise imports from the US ( mostly with US tax dollars)
SUBTitle: Alternative uses of US treasury
Slides:
1. Alternative spending on Iraq war
SUBTitle: Iraq’s government: Grab for the cash: OR “ALI BABAN AND THE FORTY…”)
Guest: Ali Baban, minister of planning, the republic of Iraq
Slides:
1. Iraq official blames corruption for fueling violence
2. Oil graft fuels insurgents
3. Where the money was supposed to go: funding for the Iraq relief and reconstruction fund( IRRF 1 & IRRF)
4. Health clinics for Iraq fall behind schedule
5. Insecurity grows worse for average Iraqi in 2007
Title: Sourcing the WMD’S
Slides:
1. Growth in perception Iraq had WMD
2. What Bush administration now says about WMD in Pre-war Iraq?
3. Iraq WMD’s track back to the US
4. US leads in global arms sales
SLIDES:
1. NO WONDER THEY LIKE PUTIN
2. DISASTER DURING YELTSIN YEARS
3. OIL COMPOSITE INDEX RISES WITH WAR IN IRAQ
4. FIGURES: GROWTH RATES IN FOOD AND HIGH INDUSTRY (%)
5. CONSUMER CREDIT GROWTH
6. INFLATION
7. RUSSIAN VS US STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE LAST TEN YEARS
8. GROWTH IN CAPITAL MARKET
9. RUSSIA SEEKS OUTSIDE INVESTMENT
10. RUSSIAN MSA BANKING VOLUMES (DEAL VALUE IN $ MILLIONS)
11. MONEY SUPPLY
12. LIFE EXPECTANCY IN RUSSIA (WOMEN)
13. CRUDE OIL PRICES(2004 DOLLARS)
14. CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
15. TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT
16. RUSSIAN REAL GDP %
17. FOREIGNERS EXCHANGES RESERVES
18. CAPITAL INVESTMENTS AS % OF PREVIOUS YEAR
19. CARTIER IN RUSSIA
#1207 doing business in Russia
Guest: Robert Monyak, executive V.P., World business capital
Slides:
1. Current account surplus
2. Russian Federation map
Guest: Kendrick White, principal, Marchmont capital partners
Slides:
1. Russia real GDP%
2. Total external debt
3. Retailers moving into Russia
4. No wonder they like Putin
5. BISNIS/U.S. Commercial Service and The Council for Trade and Economic Cooperation ( Present: Financing deals and investing in Eurasia) (image)
Guest: Richard Gilmore, President/ CEO, GIC Group
Slides:
1. Money supply( billions rubbles)
2. Growth rates in food and light industry %
3. Russian M&A Banking Volumes
4. Russia: Highest Per Capita PhD Rate in the world
Guest: Denis Stas de Richelle, Deputy Global Head, Export Finance, Societe Generale
Slides:
1. Societe General bank in Moscow( image)
2. Financial firms smell the money
3. Growth in capital markets
4. Consumer credit growth
Guest: Paul Tumminia, Counsel, CHADBOURNE & PARKE, LLP
Slide:
1. Russian scores poorly on corruption scale( source: transparency international)
#1206 ENERGY SECURITY AND GLOBAL BOTTLENECKS
Slides:
1. Global oil and trade interdependence
2. The national press club (image)
3. The seven sisters (brands) today
4. Global oil and trade interdependence
Title: U.S. Industry: Give us more supply
Guest: Red Cavaney, President, American petroleum institute
Slides:
1. History of oil industry
2. Resources to Reserves to Production ( Oil resources are finite but we are far from exhausting them. The “easiest oil” is concentrated in MENA)
3. World energy demand grows
4. Changing game: govt. control ( 1980 and today)
5. Oil and gas reserves
6. Much more oil in the Americas
7. Top exporters of oil to U.S. 2007 and net imports in millions of barrels Per day
8. The top 25 companies ( oil and natural gas reserves, in billions of barrels of oil equivalent)
9. Plenty of new oil out there
subTitle: U.S. Who needs reserves?
Slides:
1. Independent tank storage capacity
2. What others pay at the pump?
3. The US strategic petroleum reserve (SPR)
4. Top 20 companies in profits
5. Profit soars at Exxon mobil
subTitle: Nuclear energy makes a come back
Guest: Valdas Adamkus, president of the Republic of Lithuania
Slides:
1. World primary energy demand oil ( Global energy demand will increase by more than a third by 2020. Fossil fuels will account for over 80% of the increase) Nuclear Power.
2. World primary energy demand – business as usual…? ( in the reference scenario, based on current trends, global energy demand will rise by 52% by 2030)
Guest: Mikhail Khvostov, ambassador of Belarus
subTitle: Baltic Nations by-passed
Guest: Valdas Adamkus, president of the Republic of Lithuania (again)
Slides:
1. European reliance on Russia’s energy: 65% of Europe’s energy is currently imported: will rise to 89% in 20 years (Transnet's pipelines to Europe)
2. European exposure to piped gas (map)
3. The black sea straits ( map)
4. New pipeline route (proposed) ( map)
5. The system of main oil pipelines of Transnet
subTitle: Russia’s pipelines through its neighbors
Guest: Leonid Grigoriev, President, institute for energy and finance
Slides:
1. World's oil producers ( Russian now tops Saudi Arabia)
2. Russian gas supply outlook
3. State control of energy sector reconstitutes itself
4. Russia ends energy subsidies
5. Natural gas prices still differ from nation to nation
6. Moscow ( images)
7. Russian GDP growth
8. Russian vs US stock market performance last five years
9. Indebtedness turn-around
10. Cost of natural gas around the world
#1205 Doing business in China
Guest: Tien Wong, Chairman, CEO, OPUS 8
Slides:
1. Chinese economy defies predictions of slowdown
2. The largest economies in 2050
3. China real growth in Household consumption (annual % change)
4. Factors behind the growth in real income( share of growth attributable to each factor)
5. Middle class rising
6. Fair trade?
7. The banking sector is diversifying
8. Is U.S. and foreign investment in China starting to cool?
9. China takes the lead in IPO fundraising
10. Large rual-urban income gap ( non-agricultural vs. agricultural GDP per capita)
11. Fewer farmers….Change in agricultural employment, five year average Per Cent per year
12. China’s cities are booming
13. Not all is well in China
14. Corruption, Chinese style: Company scandal list grows
15. US trade deficit with China broadening to “high value”
16. Large rural- urban income gaps
17. China’s weal thiest- moving fast
18. The investors keep coming
Guest: Juan Ramon Zarco, Director Magellan Intl.
Slides:
1. US- China business venture forum( Business Alliance George Masson University) ( image)
2. More growth ( productivity growth from structural change, five year average Per Cent per year)
3. The leading areas resemble Korea 35 years ago( GDP per capita at constant prices and exchange rates)
4. Putting China on a catch up path with other developing countries( GDP per capita at constant prices and exchange rates)
5. Top emerging electronics Markets in China
6. Growth of China’s domestic automobile market( Car sector leads to Growth)
7. Entrepreneur class stuggles in China
8. Bank credit is very high concentrating rate( Business sector debt to banks % of GDP)
9. Investment fraud and corruption, chinese style
10. Foreign companies face extreme difficulties and disallusionment
11. Shanghai pension money stolen
12. China stock bubble?
13. Declining quality of governance in China
14. Corruption, Chinese style: a corporate governance nightmare
SUBTITLE: Dealing with the challenges of customs & the regulatory hurtles
Guest: Karen Hilliker, Vastera/ J.P.Morgan
SLIDES:
1. OUTSOURCING EXPLODES
2. QUESTIONS FREQUENTLY ASKED
3. NATION TO NATION COMBAT FOR JOBS, OR RACE TO THE BOTTOM?
4. INTEL’S GROVE DECRIES OUTSOURCING AND FED. POLICY
5. CHINA QUICKLY LEARNS HOW TO BUILD ITS OWN, RATHER THAN IMPORT
6. ACQUISITION OF TECHNOLOGIES AND HIGH-TECH KNOW HOW
7. NOW HIGH-TECH WORKERS ARE SUFFERING
8. GM BONDS BECOME JUNK
9. DOWNGRADES COULD HAVE PENSION IMPLICATIONS
10. CHINA ARTIFICIALLY SUPPRESSES ITS CURRENCY
#1203 U.S Defense budget: Understated, under funded, under strain
Slides:
1. Gross Federal Debt- Climbing fast
subTitle: Multiple defense tasks
Guest: Cindy Williams – M.I.T Security studies program
Slides:
1. Pentagon weapons budget
2. The Lion’s share of National Security
3. The discretnationary Budget Pie
4. Global terrorism worsens since 9/11